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Politics·Bolivia

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politics·Bolivia

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Otto Ritter 52.9%

Juan Pablo Velasco 30.4%

Julio César Tórrez <1%

Luis Fernando Camacho <1%

Polymarket

$492,753 Vol.

Otto Ritter 52.9%

Juan Pablo Velasco 30.4%

Julio César Tórrez <1%

Luis Fernando Camacho <1%

Polymarket

$492,753 Vol.

Otto Ritter

$75,430 Vol.

45%

Juan Pablo Velasco

$284,559 Vol.

36%

Julio César Tórrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$132,765 Vol.

<1%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$0 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$0 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$0 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$0 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$0 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$0 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Preliminary results from Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections propelled Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos and Juan Pablo Velasco of Libertad y República into an April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, as neither secured the required 40% plus 10-point margin in the fragmented first round—Velasco at around 29%, Ritter at 27%, and incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho third at roughly 22%. Trader consensus reflects this closeness, with Ritter's implied 45.4% probability edging Velasco's 42%, driven by Ritter's grassroots surge beyond pre-election polls and critiques portraying Velasco as an untested entrepreneur despite business backing. Pivotal Camacho voters, neutral so far, plus endorsements, debates, and turnout could tip the balance in the battleground department.

Preliminary results from Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections propelled Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos and Juan Pablo Velasco of Libertad y República into an April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, as neither secured the required 40% plus 10-point margin in the fragmented first round—Velasco at around 29%, Ritter at 27%, and incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho third at roughly 22%. Trader consensus reflects this closeness, with Ritter's implied 45.4% probability edging Velasco's 42%, driven by Ritter's grassroots surge beyond pre-election polls and critiques portraying Velasco as an untested entrepreneur despite business backing. Pivotal Camacho voters, neutral so far, plus endorsements, debates, and turnout could tip the balance in the battleground department.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Preliminary results from Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections propelled Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos and Juan Pablo Velasco of Libertad y República into an April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, as neither secured the required 40% plus 10-point margin in the fragmented first round—Velasco at around 29%, Ritter at 27%, and incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho third at roughly 22%. Trader consensus reflects this closeness, with Ritter's implied 45.4% probability edging Velasco's 42%, driven by Ritter's grassroots surge beyond pre-election polls and critiques portraying Velasco as an untested entrepreneur despite business backing. Pivotal Camacho voters, neutral so far, plus endorsements, debates, and turnout could tip the balance in the battleground department.

Preliminary results from Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections propelled Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos and Juan Pablo Velasco of Libertad y República into an April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, as neither secured the required 40% plus 10-point margin in the fragmented first round—Velasco at around 29%, Ritter at 27%, and incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho third at roughly 22%. Trader consensus reflects this closeness, with Ritter's implied 45.4% probability edging Velasco's 42%, driven by Ritter's grassroots surge beyond pre-election polls and critiques portraying Velasco as an untested entrepreneur despite business backing. Pivotal Camacho voters, neutral so far, plus endorsements, debates, and turnout could tip the balance in the battleground department.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Otto Ritter" at 45%, followed by "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" has generated $492.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Otto Ritter" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.