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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 25.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.8%

Polymarket

$778,133,519 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 25.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.8%

Polymarket

$778,133,519 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$10,496,109 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$5,343,044 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$7,413,693 Vol.

5%

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Jon Ossoff

$4,983,996 Vol.

5%

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Josh Shapiro

$4,992,288 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$7,333,175 Vol.

3%

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Mark Kelly

$9,165,423 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$2,303,273 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$4,963,282 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$8,088,502 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$2,978,042 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$7,269,202 Vol.

2%

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Rahm Emanuel

$9,240,087 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$8,956,813 Vol.

2%

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Stephen A. Smith

$11,363,385 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$6,205,781 Vol.

2%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$7,642,928 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$17,508,591 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$17,995,616 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$20,410,933 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$30,676,237 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$14,394,862 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$13,712,065 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$3,341,798 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$28,359,228 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$8,761,567 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$23,645,168 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$18,874,256 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$33,227,560 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$28,161,879 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$33,311,932 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$29,931,641 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$26,283,187 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$41,102,392 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$31,279,543 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$31,937,954 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$25,189,530 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$24,740,066 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$15,159,740 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$22,653,043 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$32,143,634 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$38,255,498 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$32,046,568 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$16,290,007 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$778,133,519
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $778.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.