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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Jon Ossoff 8.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.9%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,077,416 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Jon Ossoff 8.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.9%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,077,416 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$19,069,765 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,431,054 Vol.

8%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,491,299 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,147,268 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,777,237 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,229,452 Vol.

4%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,734,624 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$5,714,282 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,945,876 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,956,602 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$7,861,223 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,966,043 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,629,106 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,458,703 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,133,638 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,767,697 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,864,914 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,627,796 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,112,259 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,315,405 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$44,010,084 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,234,551 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,770,593 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,344,007 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,902,879 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,581,142 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,862,528 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,417,937 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,510,718 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,657,546 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,326,128 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,382,630 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,026,961 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,064,651 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,761,575 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,280,217 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,189,248 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,755,681 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$20,393,823 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,498,983 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$24,156,372 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,303,861 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,881,923 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,543,408 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent Punchbowl News poll of K Street insiders where 76% named him the party's top leader during President Trump's second term, alongside a strong tied-for-second showing in a New Hampshire primary poll. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff has gained traction from viral anti-Trump speeches, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez benefits from a recent 40% surge in odds amid progressive demands for fresh leadership. The wide-open field, with Kamala Harris lagging despite some national polls, reflects early positioning; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm performances in battleground states, fundraising dominance, and executive records among governors like Newsom, Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro, and Kentucky's Andy Beshear.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,077,416
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent Punchbowl News poll of K Street insiders where 76% named him the party's top leader during President Trump's second term, alongside a strong tied-for-second showing in a New Hampshire primary poll. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff has gained traction from viral anti-Trump speeches, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez benefits from a recent 40% surge in odds amid progressive demands for fresh leadership. The wide-open field, with Kamala Harris lagging despite some national polls, reflects early positioning; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm performances in battleground states, fundraising dominance, and executive records among governors like Newsom, Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro, and Kentucky's Andy Beshear.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,077,416
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $982.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.