Iran's theocratic Islamic Republic framework, where all legislation must conform to Shia Islamic jurisprudence per the constitution, fundamentally bars legalizing same-sex marriage, as homosexuality itself is criminalized with penalties up to death. No recent legislative proposals, executive actions, or public discourse from key actors like Supreme Leader Khamenei or the Majlis parliament indicate any shift, amid ongoing enforcement of anti-LGBTQ policies and focus on regional conflicts like tensions with Israel. Traders' near-unanimous 96.9% "No" reflects this structural rigidity and absence of reform momentum over the past 30 days. Scenarios for reversal—such as revolutionary regime change or external pressures forcing secularization—remain highly improbable without unprecedented upheaval.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's theocratic Islamic Republic framework, where all legislation must conform to Shia Islamic jurisprudence per the constitution, fundamentally bars legalizing same-sex marriage, as homosexuality itself is criminalized with penalties up to death. No recent legislative proposals, executive actions, or public discourse from key actors like Supreme Leader Khamenei or the Majlis parliament indicate any shift, amid ongoing enforcement of anti-LGBTQ policies and focus on regional conflicts like tensions with Israel. Traders' near-unanimous 96.9% "No" reflects this structural rigidity and absence of reform momentum over the past 30 days. Scenarios for reversal—such as revolutionary regime change or external pressures forcing secularization—remain highly improbable without unprecedented upheaval.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's theocratic Islamic Republic framework, where all legislation must conform to Shia Islamic jurisprudence per the constitution, fundamentally bars legalizing same-sex marriage, as homosexuality itself is criminalized with penalties up to death. No recent legislative proposals, executive actions, or public discourse from key actors like Supreme Leader Khamenei or the Majlis parliament indicate any shift, amid ongoing enforcement of anti-LGBTQ policies and focus on regional conflicts like tensions with Israel. Traders' near-unanimous 96.9% "No" reflects this structural rigidity and absence of reform momentum over the past 30 days. Scenarios for reversal—such as revolutionary regime change or external pressures forcing secularization—remain highly improbable without unprecedented upheaval.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's theocratic Islamic Republic framework, where all legislation must conform to Shia Islamic jurisprudence per the constitution, fundamentally bars legalizing same-sex marriage, as homosexuality itself is criminalized with penalties up to death. No recent legislative proposals, executive actions, or public discourse from key actors like Supreme Leader Khamenei or the Majlis parliament indicate any shift, amid ongoing enforcement of anti-LGBTQ policies and focus on regional conflicts like tensions with Israel. Traders' near-unanimous 96.9% "No" reflects this structural rigidity and absence of reform momentum over the past 30 days. Scenarios for reversal—such as revolutionary regime change or external pressures forcing secularization—remain highly improbable without unprecedented upheaval.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions