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Next French Presidential Election

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 30%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Marine Le Pen 11%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Polymarket

$10,035,282 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 30%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Marine Le Pen 11%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Polymarket

$10,035,282 Vol.

Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$376,773 Vol.

30%

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Édouard Philippe

$270,645 Vol.

15%

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Marine Le Pen

$217,221 Vol.

11%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$160,428 Vol.

10%

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Bruno Retailleau

$629,106 Vol.

6%

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Dominique de Villepin

$533,897 Vol.

6%

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Gabriel Attal

$552,469 Vol.

4%

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Sarah Knafo

$630,378 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$176,416 Vol.

2%

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David Lisnard

$484,120 Vol.

2%

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Jean Castex

$212,455 Vol.

2%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$412,242 Vol.

2%

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François Hollande

$217,363 Vol.

2%

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Juan Branco

$174,999 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$131,307 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$179,266 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$185,154 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$130,140 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$150,825 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$455,645 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$119,603 Vol.

<1%

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Olivier Faure

$141,932 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$368,670 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$320,264 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$231,932 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$379,895 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$200,065 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$134,245 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$157,488 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$188,879 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$292,214 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$449,547 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$274,898 Vol.

<1%

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François Bayrou

$161,493 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$229,165 Vol.

<1%

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Clémence Guetté

$104,143 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$10,035,282
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 30%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Presidential Election" has generated $10 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Presidential Election," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Presidential Election" is "Jordan Bardella" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.