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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Sharice Davids 60%

Christy Davis 11%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 9.1%

Michael Soetaert 4.7%

Polymarket

$31,806 Vol.

Sharice Davids 60%

Christy Davis 11%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 9.1%

Michael Soetaert 4.7%

Polymarket

$31,806 Vol.

Sharice Davids

$1,565 Vol.

60%

Christy Davis

$0 Vol.

26%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$28,804 Vol.

9%

Michael Soetaert

$1,437 Vol.

5%

Anne Parelkar

$0 Vol.

3%

Patrick Schmidt

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids at 57% to win the Kansas Democratic Senate primary on August 4, 2026, driven by her incumbency in the competitive KS-3 district, strong fundraising exceeding $2.3 million in early 2026 for her House reelection, and persistent speculation of a Senate bid despite no formal announcement as of early April. Christy Davis holds 26% with her rural Kansas roots and early campaign launch emphasizing working families. Lower odds for Sandy Spidel Neumann (9.2%), Patrick Schmidt (7.9%, state senator and Navy veteran), Michael Soetaert (4.7%), and Anne Parelkar (2.9%) reflect niche appeals amid a crowded field. Recent catalysts include a March 8 candidate forum highlighting anti-incumbent GOP Sen. Roger Marshall strategies and March 10 scrutiny over missing financial disclosures for several contenders, underscoring early organizational challenges absent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$31,806
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids at 57% to win the Kansas Democratic Senate primary on August 4, 2026, driven by her incumbency in the competitive KS-3 district, strong fundraising exceeding $2.3 million in early 2026 for her House reelection, and persistent speculation of a Senate bid despite no formal announcement as of early April. Christy Davis holds 26% with her rural Kansas roots and early campaign launch emphasizing working families. Lower odds for Sandy Spidel Neumann (9.2%), Patrick Schmidt (7.9%, state senator and Navy veteran), Michael Soetaert (4.7%), and Anne Parelkar (2.9%) reflect niche appeals amid a crowded field. Recent catalysts include a March 8 candidate forum highlighting anti-incumbent GOP Sen. Roger Marshall strategies and March 10 scrutiny over missing financial disclosures for several contenders, underscoring early organizational challenges absent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$31,806
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sharice Davids" at 60%, followed by "Christy Davis" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $31.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Sharice Davids" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christy Davis" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.