Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by ongoing military escalation—including Russia's April 1 claim of full Luhansk control, denied by Kyiv—and unresolved core disputes over territory, NATO accession, and nuclear sites like Zaporizhzhia. Recent indirect talks, such as February's Geneva summit involving US, Ukraine, and Russia, yielded no bilateral breakthrough, while Zelenskyy reiterated openness to neutral venues like Turkey, Switzerland, or the US but firmly rejected Russia or Belarus. Earlier US proposals for talks in America were declined by Moscow, and Zelenskyy's March Qatar visit fueled slight odds for UAE/Abu Dhabi (3%), with Turkey (2.3%) and US (2.3%) retaining support from historical mediation roles. No scheduled direct summit exists amid battlefield momentum favoring caution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting before 2027 79%
Qatar / UAE 3.0%
Turkey 2.4%
US 2.3%
$1,820,537 Vol.
$1,820,537 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
79%

Qatar / UAE
3%

Turkey
2%

US
2%

Russia
2%

Hungary
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Switzerland
2%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
No meeting before 2027 79%
Qatar / UAE 3.0%
Turkey 2.4%
US 2.3%
$1,820,537 Vol.
$1,820,537 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
79%

Qatar / UAE
3%

Turkey
2%

US
2%

Russia
2%

Hungary
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Switzerland
2%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, driven by ongoing military escalation—including Russia's April 1 claim of full Luhansk control, denied by Kyiv—and unresolved core disputes over territory, NATO accession, and nuclear sites like Zaporizhzhia. Recent indirect talks, such as February's Geneva summit involving US, Ukraine, and Russia, yielded no bilateral breakthrough, while Zelenskyy reiterated openness to neutral venues like Turkey, Switzerland, or the US but firmly rejected Russia or Belarus. Earlier US proposals for talks in America were declined by Moscow, and Zelenskyy's March Qatar visit fueled slight odds for UAE/Abu Dhabi (3%), with Turkey (2.3%) and US (2.3%) retaining support from historical mediation roles. No scheduled direct summit exists amid battlefield momentum favoring caution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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