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Elections·Orban

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Market icon
Elections·Orban

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

71–74% 45%

74–77% 25%

77–80% 14%

80%+ 11.9%

Polymarket

$97,828 Vol.

71–74% 45%

74–77% 25%

77–80% 14%

80%+ 11.9%

Polymarket

$97,828 Vol.

Market icon

<65%

$2,897 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

65–68%

$4,129 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

68–71%

$59,669 Vol.

7%

Market icon

71–74%

$9,033 Vol.

45%

Market icon

74–77%

$5,819 Vol.

25%

Market icon

77–80%

$10,255 Vol.

14%

Market icon

80%+

$6,026 Vol.

12%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12—just 10 days away—traders' consensus favors 71–74% turnout at 44.5% implied probability, aligning with historical levels of 64–73% in recent cycles like 2022's 73% figure, tempered by governing Fidesz's reliable base mobilization. Recent polls from Republikon and Medián signal unusually high voter enthusiasm, with up to 89% "sure to vote" among decided respondents, driven by Péter Magyar's Tisza party surging 19–23 points ahead of Fidesz among likely voters and strong youth support exceeding 60% for opposition. This competitive race, potentially ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, has elevated turnout expectations above past norms, though skeptics note polls often overestimate actual participation in Hungary's proportional representation system.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$97,828
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12—just 10 days away—traders' consensus favors 71–74% turnout at 44.5% implied probability, aligning with historical levels of 64–73% in recent cycles like 2022's 73% figure, tempered by governing Fidesz's reliable base mobilization. Recent polls from Republikon and Medián signal unusually high voter enthusiasm, with up to 89% "sure to vote" among decided respondents, driven by Péter Magyar's Tisza party surging 19–23 points ahead of Fidesz among likely voters and strong youth support exceeding 60% for opposition. This competitive race, potentially ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, has elevated turnout expectations above past norms, though skeptics note polls often overestimate actual participation in Hungary's proportional representation system.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$97,828
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "71–74%" at 45%, followed by "74–77%" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" has generated $97.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" is "71–74%" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "74–77%" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.