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Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Tatiana Auguste 56%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 42%

Maxime Beaudoin <1%

Maria Cantore <1%

Polymarket

$22,791 Vol.

Tatiana Auguste 56%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 42%

Maxime Beaudoin <1%

Maria Cantore <1%

Polymarket

$22,791 Vol.

Market icon

Tatiana Auguste

$13,781 Vol.

56%

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Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$9,010 Vol.

42%

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Maxime Beaudoin

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Maria Cantore

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Adrienne Charles

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Benjamin Rankin

$0 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus in the Terrebonne federal by-election favors Bloc Québécois candidate Tatiana Auguste at 56% implied probability, ahead of Conservative Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42%, reflecting recent Léger and Angus Reid polls showing Auguste leading 42-45% to Sinclair-Desgagné's 35-38% amid Bloc strength in suburban Quebec ridings. The riding flipped Liberal in 2021 but has trended back toward Bloc amid national unpopularity for Liberals and NDP weaknesses. Advance polls opened September 27 ahead of the October 7 vote, with turnout potentially decisive in this low-profile contest; Sinclair-Desgagné benefits from Conservative national momentum under new leader Pierre Poilievre, but local issues like housing and cost of living bolster Auguste's edge. Other candidates trail far behind.

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$22,791
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus in the Terrebonne federal by-election favors Bloc Québécois candidate Tatiana Auguste at 56% implied probability, ahead of Conservative Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42%, reflecting recent Léger and Angus Reid polls showing Auguste leading 42-45% to Sinclair-Desgagné's 35-38% amid Bloc strength in suburban Quebec ridings. The riding flipped Liberal in 2021 but has trended back toward Bloc amid national unpopularity for Liberals and NDP weaknesses. Advance polls opened September 27 ahead of the October 7 vote, with turnout potentially decisive in this low-profile contest; Sinclair-Desgagné benefits from Conservative national momentum under new leader Pierre Poilievre, but local issues like housing and cost of living bolster Auguste's edge. Other candidates trail far behind.

Trader consensus in the Terrebonne federal by-election favors Bloc Québécois candidate Tatiana Auguste at 56% implied probability, ahead of Conservative Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42%, reflecting recent Léger and Angus Reid polls showing Auguste leading 42-45% to Sinclair-Desgagné's 35-38% amid Bloc strength in suburban Quebec ridings. The riding flipped Liberal in 2021 but has trended back toward Bloc amid national unpopularity for Liberals and NDP weaknesses. Advance polls opened September 27 ahead of the October 7 vote, with turnout potentially decisive in this low-profile contest; Sinclair-Desgagné benefits from Conservative national momentum under new leader Pierre Poilievre, but local issues like housing and cost of living bolster Auguste's edge. Other candidates trail far behind.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatiana Auguste" at 56%, followed by "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Terrebone By-Election Winner" has generated $22.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" is "Tatiana Auguste" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.