In Slovenia's parliamentary election on March 22, incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory over Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), capturing the largest share of votes in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation amid high turnout. Near-final results with over 99% of ballots counted confirmed GS's lead, prompting Golob to claim victory and traders to price GS at 100% as the consensus winner, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on official tallies. While coalition negotiations loom to form a majority government, scenarios like a formal recount, legal challenges, or unprecedented reversals in remaining votes could theoretically shift outcomes, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the procedural stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSlovenian Parliamentary Election Winner
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner
Freedom Movement (GS) 100.0%
Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) <1%
Social Democrats (SD) <1%
Democrats (D) <1%
$4,689,933 Vol.
$4,689,933 Vol.

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
No

Freedom Movement (GS)
Yes

Social Democrats (SD)
No

Democrats (D)
No

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
No

The Left (Levica)
No

Resni.ca (Res)
No

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
No

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
No

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
No

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
No

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
No

Party of Generations (SG)
No

Our Country (ND)
No

Prerod (PVP)
No
Freedom Movement (GS) 100.0%
Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) <1%
Social Democrats (SD) <1%
Democrats (D) <1%
$4,689,933 Vol.
$4,689,933 Vol.

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
No

Freedom Movement (GS)
Yes

Social Democrats (SD)
No

Democrats (D)
No

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
No

The Left (Levica)
No

Resni.ca (Res)
No

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
No

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
No

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
No

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
No

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
No

Party of Generations (SG)
No

Our Country (ND)
No

Prerod (PVP)
No
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
In Slovenia's parliamentary election on March 22, incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory over Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), capturing the largest share of votes in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation amid high turnout. Near-final results with over 99% of ballots counted confirmed GS's lead, prompting Golob to claim victory and traders to price GS at 100% as the consensus winner, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on official tallies. While coalition negotiations loom to form a majority government, scenarios like a formal recount, legal challenges, or unprecedented reversals in remaining votes could theoretically shift outcomes, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the procedural stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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