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Politics·Primaries

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Chris Rabb 35.1%

Sharif Street 35%

Ala Stanford 28.0%

Morgan Cephas 4.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Rabb 35.1%

Sharif Street 35%

Ala Stanford 28.0%

Morgan Cephas 4.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Rabb

$0 Vol.

35%

Sharif Street

$3,956 Vol.

35%

Ala Stanford

$0 Vol.

28%

Morgan Cephas

$0 Vol.

4%

Robin Toldens

$0 Vol.

3%

David Oxman

$0 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Caceres

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, driven by recent field narrowing without consolidation. State Rep. Morgan Cephas dropped out March 28 due to weak fundraising, while David Oxman exited earlier endorsing Stanford, yet odds remain deadlocked amid split endorsements: progressives including Working Families Party, Justice Democrats, and Philly DSA back Rabb; Philadelphia Democratic Party, Black Clergy, and building trades unions support Street; Stanford holds the top ballot position plus nods from ex-Rep. Dwight Evans and 314 Action. Absent public polls, upcoming forums, Q1 fundraising disclosures, or cross-endorsements could tip the balance in this deep-blue open seat race.

In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, driven by recent field narrowing without consolidation. State Rep. Morgan Cephas dropped out March 28 due to weak fundraising, while David Oxman exited earlier endorsing Stanford, yet odds remain deadlocked amid split endorsements: progressives including Working Families Party, Justice Democrats, and Philly DSA back Rabb; Philadelphia Democratic Party, Black Clergy, and building trades unions support Street; Stanford holds the top ballot position plus nods from ex-Rep. Dwight Evans and 314 Action. Absent public polls, upcoming forums, Q1 fundraising disclosures, or cross-endorsements could tip the balance in this deep-blue open seat race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, driven by recent field narrowing without consolidation. State Rep. Morgan Cephas dropped out March 28 due to weak fundraising, while David Oxman exited earlier endorsing Stanford, yet odds remain deadlocked amid split endorsements: progressives including Working Families Party, Justice Democrats, and Philly DSA back Rabb; Philadelphia Democratic Party, Black Clergy, and building trades unions support Street; Stanford holds the top ballot position plus nods from ex-Rep. Dwight Evans and 314 Action. Absent public polls, upcoming forums, Q1 fundraising disclosures, or cross-endorsements could tip the balance in this deep-blue open seat race.

In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, driven by recent field narrowing without consolidation. State Rep. Morgan Cephas dropped out March 28 due to weak fundraising, while David Oxman exited earlier endorsing Stanford, yet odds remain deadlocked amid split endorsements: progressives including Working Families Party, Justice Democrats, and Philly DSA back Rabb; Philadelphia Democratic Party, Black Clergy, and building trades unions support Street; Stanford holds the top ballot position plus nods from ex-Rep. Dwight Evans and 314 Action. Absent public polls, upcoming forums, Q1 fundraising disclosures, or cross-endorsements could tip the balance in this deep-blue open seat race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 35%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Chris Rabb" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.