Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 13-14) showing Democrat Amy Acton at 46% to Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and Decision Desk HQ's average giving Acton a slim 47%-46% edge, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats by a narrow margin in Ohio's 2026 gubernatorial race. This tight contest persists despite Republicans holding the governorship since 2010, as Acton's name recognition from her prior health director role offsets Ramaswamy's party endorsement and outsider appeal amid Ohio's battleground dynamics. Separation could emerge from May 5 primaries solidifying nominees, shifts in polling averages, debate performances, or national midterm turnout patterns influencing swing voters in key regions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$68,518 Vol.
$68,518 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
53%
Republican
45%
$68,518 Vol.
$68,518 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$34,505 Vol.
53%
Republican
$34,013 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 13-14) showing Democrat Amy Acton at 46% to Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and Decision Desk HQ's average giving Acton a slim 47%-46% edge, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats by a narrow margin in Ohio's 2026 gubernatorial race. This tight contest persists despite Republicans holding the governorship since 2010, as Acton's name recognition from her prior health director role offsets Ramaswamy's party endorsement and outsider appeal amid Ohio's battleground dynamics. Separation could emerge from May 5 primaries solidifying nominees, shifts in polling averages, debate performances, or national midterm turnout patterns influencing swing voters in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$68,518End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 13-14) showing Democrat Amy Acton at 46% to Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and Decision Desk HQ's average giving Acton a slim 47%-46% edge, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats by a narrow margin in Ohio's 2026 gubernatorial race. This tight contest persists despite Republicans holding the governorship since 2010, as Acton's name recognition from her prior health director role offsets Ramaswamy's party endorsement and outsider appeal amid Ohio's battleground dynamics. Separation could emerge from May 5 primaries solidifying nominees, shifts in polling averages, debate performances, or national midterm turnout patterns influencing swing voters in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,518End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 13-14) showing Democrat Amy Acton at 46% to Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and Decision Desk HQ's average giving Acton a slim 47%-46% edge, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats by a narrow margin in Ohio's 2026 gubernatorial race. This tight contest persists despite Republicans holding the governorship since 2010, as Acton's name recognition from her prior health director role offsets Ramaswamy's party endorsement and outsider appeal amid Ohio's battleground dynamics. Separation could emerge from May 5 primaries solidifying nominees, shifts in polling averages, debate performances, or national midterm turnout patterns influencing swing voters in key regions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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