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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 34%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.0%

Ebba Busch 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,213,584 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 34%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.0%

Ebba Busch 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,213,584 Vol.

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Magdalena Andersson

$35,670 Vol.

59%

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Ulf Kristersson

$32,701 Vol.

34%

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Jimmie Åkesson

$908,126 Vol.

5%

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Ebba Busch

$178,158 Vol.

2%

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Amanda Lind

$9,670 Vol.

<1%

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Nooshi Dadgostar

$7,617 Vol.

<1%

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Anna-Karin Hatt

$9,743 Vol.

<1%

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Simona Mohamsson

$12,546 Vol.

<1%

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Daniel Helldén

$8,597 Vol.

<1%

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Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$10,756 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 59% implied probability to become Sweden's next Prime Minister, driven by recent polling averages showing the Social Democrats and their left-leaning allies consistently leading the Tidö coalition parties by 5-10 points ahead of the scheduled September 2026 parliamentary election. Ulf Kristersson, the current Moderate Party leader and Prime Minister since 2022, trails at 34%, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the right-wing minority government's handling of immigration, crime, and economic pressures amid high inflation. Jimmie Åkesson's 5% reflects Sweden Democrats' kingmaker role in proportional representation but limited PM viability without broader coalition support. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the 349-seat Riksdag dynamics favoring the left in current surveys; key upcoming events include regional elections in autumn 2026 influencing national momentum.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,213,584
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 59% implied probability to become Sweden's next Prime Minister, driven by recent polling averages showing the Social Democrats and their left-leaning allies consistently leading the Tidö coalition parties by 5-10 points ahead of the scheduled September 2026 parliamentary election. Ulf Kristersson, the current Moderate Party leader and Prime Minister since 2022, trails at 34%, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the right-wing minority government's handling of immigration, crime, and economic pressures amid high inflation. Jimmie Åkesson's 5% reflects Sweden Democrats' kingmaker role in proportional representation but limited PM viability without broader coalition support. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the 349-seat Riksdag dynamics favoring the left in current surveys; key upcoming events include regional elections in autumn 2026 influencing national momentum.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 59% implied probability to become Sweden's next Prime Minister, driven by recent polling averages showing the Social Democrats and their left-leaning allies consistently leading the Tidö coalition parties by 5-10 points ahead of the scheduled September 2026 parliamentary election. Ulf Kristersson, the current Moderate Party leader and Prime Minister since 2022, trails at 34%, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the right-wing minority government's handling of immigration, crime, and economic pressures amid high inflation. Jimmie Åkesson's 5% reflects Sweden Democrats' kingmaker role in proportional representation but limited PM viability without broader coalition support. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms, with the 349-seat Riksdag dynamics favoring the left in current surveys; key upcoming events include regional elections in autumn 2026 influencing national momentum.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 59%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Sweden," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.