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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Robert Golob 65%

Janez Janša 18%

Anže Logar 2.6%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$2,018,022 Vol.

Robert Golob 65%

Janez Janša 18%

Anže Logar 2.6%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$2,018,022 Vol.

Market icon

Robert Golob

$477,056 Vol.

65%

Market icon

Janez Janša

$519,110 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Anže Logar

$894,219 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Vladimir Prebilič

$127,637 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality of 29 seats in Slovenia's 90-seat National Assembly following the March 22 parliamentary election, edging out Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party and positioning Golob as the trader-favored frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability for next prime minister. Golob launched coalition negotiations on March 27 with smaller parties, including potential partners like The Left and greens, amid a fragmented result requiring broad alliances. The new parliament convenes April 10, when President Nataša Pirc Musar will initiate formal talks, with Janša at 17.5% reflecting his party's strong second place and opposition potential if coalitions falter. Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trail due to smaller party showings.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,018,022
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality of 29 seats in Slovenia's 90-seat National Assembly following the March 22 parliamentary election, edging out Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party and positioning Golob as the trader-favored frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability for next prime minister. Golob launched coalition negotiations on March 27 with smaller parties, including potential partners like The Left and greens, amid a fragmented result requiring broad alliances. The new parliament convenes April 10, when President Nataša Pirc Musar will initiate formal talks, with Janša at 17.5% reflecting his party's strong second place and opposition potential if coalitions falter. Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trail due to smaller party showings.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,018,022
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Golob" at 65%, followed by "Janez Janša" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Robert Golob" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janez Janša" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.