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Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Duke Rodriguez 50%

Greg Hull 43%

Steve Lanier 1.1%

Susana Martinez 1.0%

Polymarket

$803,125 Vol.

Duke Rodriguez 50%

Greg Hull 43%

Steve Lanier 1.1%

Susana Martinez 1.0%

Polymarket

$803,125 Vol.

Duke Rodriguez

$8,762 Vol.

50%

Greg Hull

$121,432 Vol.

43%

Steve Lanier

$645,065 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$8,736 Vol.

1%

John Sanchez

$2,539 Vol.

<1%

Brian Cillessen

$2,822 Vol.

<1%

Judith Nakamura

$6,063 Vol.

<1%

Belinda Robertson

$4,872 Vol.

<1%

Mark Murphy

$2,833 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary tilts slightly to Duke Rodriguez at 50% over Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull at 42.5%, driven by Rodriguez's self-funding edge—recent campaign finance reports show his $500,000 personal contribution and $326,000 spent since October, outpacing Hull's $107,000 expenditures. Hull maintains momentum from leading the March pre-primary convention with 239 delegate votes for automatic ballot access, bolstering his grassroots and party support amid his proven mayoral record. Absent public polls, the contest stays neck-and-neck, hinging on turnout in the June 2 closed primary; separation could arise from endorsements, ad buys, or forums highlighting policy on economy, border security, and crime.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$803,125
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary tilts slightly to Duke Rodriguez at 50% over Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull at 42.5%, driven by Rodriguez's self-funding edge—recent campaign finance reports show his $500,000 personal contribution and $326,000 spent since October, outpacing Hull's $107,000 expenditures. Hull maintains momentum from leading the March pre-primary convention with 239 delegate votes for automatic ballot access, bolstering his grassroots and party support amid his proven mayoral record. Absent public polls, the contest stays neck-and-neck, hinging on turnout in the June 2 closed primary; separation could arise from endorsements, ad buys, or forums highlighting policy on economy, border security, and crime.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$803,125
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 50%, followed by "Greg Hull" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $803.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Duke Rodriguez" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greg Hull" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.