Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in early general election polls—leading potential Republican nominees by 27 to 30 points in February University of New Hampshire surveys—drives trader consensus implying a 93.8% probability of a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026, in the solidly blue Bay State. Healey launched her reelection bid in January alongside Lieutenant Governor Kim Driscoll, touting affordability measures in her State of the Commonwealth address, while a competitive GOP primary features Mike Kennealy, Michael Minogue (leading a February internal poll at 29%), and Brian Shortsleeve ahead of the April party convention and September 1 primaries. Massachusetts' Democratic supermajority, historical incumbent advantages, and lack of recent polling shifts sustain this lopsided pricing, though a unified Republican nominee, Healey scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMassachusetts Governor Election Winner
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
$14,152 Vol.
$14,152 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$14,152 Vol.
$14,152 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,088 Vol.
94%
Republican
$9,064 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in early general election polls—leading potential Republican nominees by 27 to 30 points in February University of New Hampshire surveys—drives trader consensus implying a 93.8% probability of a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026, in the solidly blue Bay State. Healey launched her reelection bid in January alongside Lieutenant Governor Kim Driscoll, touting affordability measures in her State of the Commonwealth address, while a competitive GOP primary features Mike Kennealy, Michael Minogue (leading a February internal poll at 29%), and Brian Shortsleeve ahead of the April party convention and September 1 primaries. Massachusetts' Democratic supermajority, historical incumbent advantages, and lack of recent polling shifts sustain this lopsided pricing, though a unified Republican nominee, Healey scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$14,152End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in early general election polls—leading potential Republican nominees by 27 to 30 points in February University of New Hampshire surveys—drives trader consensus implying a 93.8% probability of a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026, in the solidly blue Bay State. Healey launched her reelection bid in January alongside Lieutenant Governor Kim Driscoll, touting affordability measures in her State of the Commonwealth address, while a competitive GOP primary features Mike Kennealy, Michael Minogue (leading a February internal poll at 29%), and Brian Shortsleeve ahead of the April party convention and September 1 primaries. Massachusetts' Democratic supermajority, historical incumbent advantages, and lack of recent polling shifts sustain this lopsided pricing, though a unified Republican nominee, Healey scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,152End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in early general election polls—leading potential Republican nominees by 27 to 30 points in February University of New Hampshire surveys—drives trader consensus implying a 93.8% probability of a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026, in the solidly blue Bay State. Healey launched her reelection bid in January alongside Lieutenant Governor Kim Driscoll, touting affordability measures in her State of the Commonwealth address, while a competitive GOP primary features Mike Kennealy, Michael Minogue (leading a February internal poll at 29%), and Brian Shortsleeve ahead of the April party convention and September 1 primaries. Massachusetts' Democratic supermajority, historical incumbent advantages, and lack of recent polling shifts sustain this lopsided pricing, though a unified Republican nominee, Healey scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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