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Politics·Global Elections

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

René Yahuasi Calamani 33.0%

Luis Antonio Revilla 30.0%

Fidel Chura 16.9%

Richard Andrés Gómez 10.3%

Polymarket

$15,208 Vol.

René Yahuasi Calamani 33.0%

Luis Antonio Revilla 30.0%

Fidel Chura 16.9%

Richard Andrés Gómez 10.3%

Polymarket

$15,208 Vol.

René Yahuasi Calamani

$0 Vol.

33%

Luis Antonio Revilla

$8,423 Vol.

50%

Fidel Chura

$0 Vol.

17%

Richard Andrés Gómez

$1,218 Vol.

10%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas

$1,245 Vol.

4%

Rafael Quispe Flores

$0 Vol.

3%

Germán Riveros

$1,123 Vol.

3%

Demetrio Villca

$0 Vol.

1%

Orlando Callisaya

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gualberto Cusi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Santos Quispe Quispe

$1,271 Vol.

7%

Clemente Gutiérrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leopoldo Richar Chui

$0 Vol.

<1%

Felix Patzi

$1,927 Vol.

7%

Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer

$0 Vol.

32%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's fragmented subnational elections on March 22, official first-round results positioned Luis Antonio Revilla at 20.0% and René Yahuasi Calamani at 9.2% as top two for the La Paz governorship, triggering an April 19 runoff amid over 23% null and blank votes that underscore voter dissatisfaction and multiparty competition. Revilla's trader consensus lead at 50% implied probability stems from his name recognition as former La Paz mayor and Patria Sol alliance backing President Rodrigo Paz's administration, signaling incumbency advantage in a post-MAS landscape. Yahuasi's strong second-place surprise as 33-year-old Nueva Generación Patriótica newcomer drives 33% odds via youth appeal and potential MAS sympathizer consolidation. Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer's third-place finish bolsters 32% bets on Somos La Paz momentum from urban voters and endorsements, heightening runoff uncertainty.

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$15,208
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's fragmented subnational elections on March 22, official first-round results positioned Luis Antonio Revilla at 20.0% and René Yahuasi Calamani at 9.2% as top two for the La Paz governorship, triggering an April 19 runoff amid over 23% null and blank votes that underscore voter dissatisfaction and multiparty competition. Revilla's trader consensus lead at 50% implied probability stems from his name recognition as former La Paz mayor and Patria Sol alliance backing President Rodrigo Paz's administration, signaling incumbency advantage in a post-MAS landscape. Yahuasi's strong second-place surprise as 33-year-old Nueva Generación Patriótica newcomer drives 33% odds via youth appeal and potential MAS sympathizer consolidation. Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer's third-place finish bolsters 32% bets on Somos La Paz momentum from urban voters and endorsements, heightening runoff uncertainty.

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$15,208
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 50%, followed by "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.