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Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Sharice Davids 23%

Christy Davis 23%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 14.1%

Patrick Schmidt 7.1%

Polymarket

$85,042 Vol.

Sharice Davids 23%

Christy Davis 23%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 14.1%

Patrick Schmidt 7.1%

Polymarket

$85,042 Vol.

Sharice Davids

$2,802 Vol.

26%

Christy Davis

$32,777 Vol.

35%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$29,623 Vol.

14%

Patrick Schmidt

$567 Vol.

7%

Michael Soetaert

$1,851 Vol.

5%

Anne Parelkar

$17,422 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus shows Christy Davis slightly ahead of Sharice Davids at 22.5% and 22.0% implied probabilities, reflecting a fragmented field of eight official candidates with no public polls to consolidate support. Davis' edge stems from her early campaign launch, rural advocacy as a former USDA rural development director, and participation in the March 8 Kansas Democratic Party forum alongside rivals like Sandy Spidel Neumann and Patrick Schmidt. Davids, the incumbent KS-3 representative, draws bets on her high name recognition and speculated entry despite not filing by the June 1 deadline. Fundraising leaders Schmidt ($130K cash on hand) and Neumann trail in odds due to uncertain voter recognition; separation could arise from Davids' potential announcement, party endorsements, or Q2 reports.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$85,042
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus shows Christy Davis slightly ahead of Sharice Davids at 22.5% and 22.0% implied probabilities, reflecting a fragmented field of eight official candidates with no public polls to consolidate support. Davis' edge stems from her early campaign launch, rural advocacy as a former USDA rural development director, and participation in the March 8 Kansas Democratic Party forum alongside rivals like Sandy Spidel Neumann and Patrick Schmidt. Davids, the incumbent KS-3 representative, draws bets on her high name recognition and speculated entry despite not filing by the June 1 deadline. Fundraising leaders Schmidt ($130K cash on hand) and Neumann trail in odds due to uncertain voter recognition; separation could arise from Davids' potential announcement, party endorsements, or Q2 reports.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$85,042
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christy Davis" at 35%, followed by "Sharice Davids" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $85K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Christy Davis" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharice Davids" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.