In the crowded Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus shows Christy Davis slightly ahead of Sharice Davids at 22.5% and 22.0% implied probabilities, reflecting a fragmented field of eight official candidates with no public polls to consolidate support. Davis' edge stems from her early campaign launch, rural advocacy as a former USDA rural development director, and participation in the March 8 Kansas Democratic Party forum alongside rivals like Sandy Spidel Neumann and Patrick Schmidt. Davids, the incumbent KS-3 representative, draws bets on her high name recognition and speculated entry despite not filing by the June 1 deadline. Fundraising leaders Schmidt ($130K cash on hand) and Neumann trail in odds due to uncertain voter recognition; separation could arise from Davids' potential announcement, party endorsements, or Q2 reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSharice Davids 23%
Christy Davis 23%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 14.1%
Patrick Schmidt 7.1%
$85,042 Vol.
$85,042 Vol.
Sharice Davids
26%
Christy Davis
35%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
14%
Patrick Schmidt
7%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Anne Parelkar
4%
Sharice Davids 23%
Christy Davis 23%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 14.1%
Patrick Schmidt 7.1%
$85,042 Vol.
$85,042 Vol.
Sharice Davids
26%
Christy Davis
35%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
14%
Patrick Schmidt
7%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Anne Parelkar
4%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the crowded Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus shows Christy Davis slightly ahead of Sharice Davids at 22.5% and 22.0% implied probabilities, reflecting a fragmented field of eight official candidates with no public polls to consolidate support. Davis' edge stems from her early campaign launch, rural advocacy as a former USDA rural development director, and participation in the March 8 Kansas Democratic Party forum alongside rivals like Sandy Spidel Neumann and Patrick Schmidt. Davids, the incumbent KS-3 representative, draws bets on her high name recognition and speculated entry despite not filing by the June 1 deadline. Fundraising leaders Schmidt ($130K cash on hand) and Neumann trail in odds due to uncertain voter recognition; separation could arise from Davids' potential announcement, party endorsements, or Q2 reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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