Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA 67%

Fidesz-KDNP 34%

DK <1%

LMP <1%

Polymarket

$52,203,294 Vol.

TISZA 67%

Fidesz-KDNP 34%

DK <1%

LMP <1%

Polymarket

$52,203,294 Vol.

Market icon

TISZA

$1,202,054 Vol.

67%

Market icon

Fidesz-KDNP

$1,321,909 Vol.

34%

Market icon

DK

$6,231,625 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

LMP

$14,725,813 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

MSZP

$456,333 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Momentum

$715,917 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mi Hazánk

$1,037,262 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Párbeszéd

$7,088,495 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Jobbik

$14,949,312 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

KDNP

$4,474,573 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus prices TISZA at 66.5% to form the next government, reflecting a string of recent polls showing Péter Magyar's opposition party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition. The latest Medián survey from March 25 gives TISZA 58% support against Fidesz's 35%, with all other parties like DK, LMP, and Momentum below the electoral threshold; similar results from 21 Kutatóközpont and IDEA polls confirm the trend among decided voters. TISZA's surge stems from unified anti-incumbent momentum, large rallies like the March 15 national march, and Fidesz fatigue after 16 years in power, though Fidesz benefits from gerrymandered single-member districts in the mixed electoral system. Final turnout and list vote splits remain pivotal uncertainties.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$52,203,294
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus prices TISZA at 66.5% to form the next government, reflecting a string of recent polls showing Péter Magyar's opposition party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition. The latest Medián survey from March 25 gives TISZA 58% support against Fidesz's 35%, with all other parties like DK, LMP, and Momentum below the electoral threshold; similar results from 21 Kutatóközpont and IDEA polls confirm the trend among decided voters. TISZA's surge stems from unified anti-incumbent momentum, large rallies like the March 15 national march, and Fidesz fatigue after 16 years in power, though Fidesz benefits from gerrymandered single-member districts in the mixed electoral system. Final turnout and list vote splits remain pivotal uncertainties.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$52,203,294
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Related

Market icon

Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

67%
Market icon

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

74%
Market icon

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

94%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TISZA" at 67%, followed by "Fidesz-KDNP" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $52.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner" is "TISZA" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fidesz-KDNP" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.