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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Jon Ossoff 8.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,220,558 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Jon Ossoff 8.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,220,558 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$19,084,303 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,431,580 Vol.

8%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,523,198 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,147,714 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,777,340 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,230,927 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$5,716,038 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,972,351 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,956,652 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$7,861,446 Vol.

2%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,751,557 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,966,162 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,653,206 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,768,878 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,458,791 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,133,961 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,865,110 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,627,796 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,112,945 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,315,405 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$44,010,084 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,235,923 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,770,922 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,344,545 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,903,833 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,581,549 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,863,593 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,419,039 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,511,510 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,659,194 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,326,452 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,382,645 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,028,494 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,064,651 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,761,618 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,280,315 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,189,559 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,756,325 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$20,393,976 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,498,994 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$24,156,682 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,304,412 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,882,293 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,543,414 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket, outpacing Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8%) and Jon Ossoff (8%), in a wide-open field following the party's 2024 setbacks. This positioning reflects Newsom's executive experience as California governor and recent March 2026 polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in his home-state primary matchup and tying for second in New Hampshire, bolstered by his book tour there. Ossoff surged on a viral February anti-Trump speech highlighting Georgia's battleground appeal, while AOC's April pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel energizes progressives. Diverging from national polling averages favoring Harris, markets emphasize general-election viability; 2026 midterm results, early fundraising, and party endorsements could consolidate support behind frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,220,558
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket, outpacing Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8%) and Jon Ossoff (8%), in a wide-open field following the party's 2024 setbacks. This positioning reflects Newsom's executive experience as California governor and recent March 2026 polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in his home-state primary matchup and tying for second in New Hampshire, bolstered by his book tour there. Ossoff surged on a viral February anti-Trump speech highlighting Georgia's battleground appeal, while AOC's April pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel energizes progressives. Diverging from national polling averages favoring Harris, markets emphasize general-election viability; 2026 midterm results, early fundraising, and party endorsements could consolidate support behind frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,220,558
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $982.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.