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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$949,651,447 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$949,651,447 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,053,232 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,250,236 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,017,923 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,807,252 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,986,857 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,590,669 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$4,291,498 Vol.

3%

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Andy Beshear

$6,485,820 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,886,008 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,423,952 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,319,297 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,655,566 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,654,755 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,475,797 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,302,701 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Obama

$21,708,784 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,013,497 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,369,826 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,466,500 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,229,134 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,923,113 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,847,636 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,084,056 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,161,578 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,718,679 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,445,714 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,473,798 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,939,336 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,833,271 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,631,770 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,786,134 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,373,236 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,914,590 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,730,481 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,636,652 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$25,415,176 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,102,897 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,706,937 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,071,754 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,608,390 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,626,508 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,607,803 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,143,355 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,881,533 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination due to a March 12 Politico poll revealing his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris among California Democrats, reinforcing his executive record and national anti-Trump profile amid recent book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire. The fragmented field—progressive firebrand Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez appealing to the left, swing-state Senator Jon Ossoff leveraging Georgia incumbency, governors like Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer touting moderate electability—reflects post-2024 uncertainty without an incumbent. Consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising edges, major endorsements, or scandals, shaping paths to victory in 2027 caucuses and primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$949,651,447
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination due to a March 12 Politico poll revealing his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris among California Democrats, reinforcing his executive record and national anti-Trump profile amid recent book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire. The fragmented field—progressive firebrand Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez appealing to the left, swing-state Senator Jon Ossoff leveraging Georgia incumbency, governors like Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer touting moderate electability—reflects post-2024 uncertainty without an incumbent. Consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising edges, major endorsements, or scandals, shaping paths to victory in 2027 caucuses and primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$949,651,447
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $949.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.