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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$964,701,779 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$964,701,779 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,964,554 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,778,904 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,770,166 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$9,021,868 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,682,273 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,091,001 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$7,109,176 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,281,351 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,816,628 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$11,255,556 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,841,566 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,352,796 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,344,298 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,741,049 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,735,399 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,032,088 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,267,360 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,659,484 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,536,196 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,008,763 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,134,074 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,258,582 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,140,056 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,818,961 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,499,615 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,383,131 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,593,399 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,474,013 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,250,353 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,914,444 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,880,293 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,543,615 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,024,924 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,416,498 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,761,891 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$25,656,913 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,902,824 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,526,131 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,758,467 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,866,706 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,836,568 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$23,443,646 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,891,770 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,455,383 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination frontrunner at 25%, driven by recent New Hampshire primary polling tying him for second, a dominant California survey lead over Kamala Harris, his national profile from past debates, and a $25 million war chest. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive enthusiasm despite centrist efforts to block her rise, while Sen. Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from strong Georgia reelection polls averaging 16-point leads over Republicans in the Trump-won state. This wide-open field post-2024 underscores uncertainty; 2026 midterms, fundraising disclosures, and early primary state developments could consolidate backing for battle-tested governors and senators.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$964,701,779
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination frontrunner at 25%, driven by recent New Hampshire primary polling tying him for second, a dominant California survey lead over Kamala Harris, his national profile from past debates, and a $25 million war chest. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive enthusiasm despite centrist efforts to block her rise, while Sen. Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from strong Georgia reelection polls averaging 16-point leads over Republicans in the Trump-won state. This wide-open field post-2024 underscores uncertainty; 2026 midterms, fundraising disclosures, and early primary state developments could consolidate backing for battle-tested governors and senators.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$964,701,779
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $964.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.