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Politics·Primaries

Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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Politics·Primaries

Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Kyle Sweetser 63%

Dakarai Larriett 30%

Mark Wheeler 5.5%

Lamont Lavender 3.9%

Polymarket

$10,367 Vol.

Kyle Sweetser 63%

Dakarai Larriett 30%

Mark Wheeler 5.5%

Lamont Lavender 3.9%

Polymarket

$10,367 Vol.

Kyle Sweetser

$6,958 Vol.

63%

Dakarai Larriett

$1,708 Vol.

30%

Mark Wheeler

$848 Vol.

5%

Lamont Lavender

$852 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Alabama Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for May 19 with a potential runoff on June 16, heavily favors Kyle Sweetser at 63% implied probability, driven by his national visibility from a 2024 DNC speech as a former Republican voter, bipartisan endorsements from Democratic legislative leaders and ex-GOP officials announced in late January, and top Q1 fundraising of $154,000 in receipts. Dakarai Larriett holds 29% on momentum from April 11 endorsements by figures like Patricia Todd and recent grassroots appeals targeting progressive voters, amid expected low Democratic turnout in the deep-red state. Mark Wheeler and Lamont Lavender trail at 5% and 4%, limited by minimal fundraising under $20,000 each and lower name recognition, with no public polls shifting the crowded field dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,367
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Alabama Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for May 19 with a potential runoff on June 16, heavily favors Kyle Sweetser at 63% implied probability, driven by his national visibility from a 2024 DNC speech as a former Republican voter, bipartisan endorsements from Democratic legislative leaders and ex-GOP officials announced in late January, and top Q1 fundraising of $154,000 in receipts. Dakarai Larriett holds 29% on momentum from April 11 endorsements by figures like Patricia Todd and recent grassroots appeals targeting progressive voters, amid expected low Democratic turnout in the deep-red state. Mark Wheeler and Lamont Lavender trail at 5% and 4%, limited by minimal fundraising under $20,000 each and lower name recognition, with no public polls shifting the crowded field dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,367
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Sweetser" at 63%, followed by "Dakarai Larriett" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $10.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Kyle Sweetser" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dakarai Larriett" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.