Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

17%

chance

$6m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

16%

chance

$4m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

34%

chance

$5m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 11

5%

January 31

29%

January 11

5%

January 31

29%

$4m Vol.

Mali

13%

Senegal

60%

$455k Vol.

•ACN• 4:00 PM

Raptors

26%

Celtics

75%

$857k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Pelicans

56%

Wizards

44%

$616k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

ICE shooter charged by March 31? card icon

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

20%

chance

$71k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026?

560-579

61%

580+

39%

560-579

61%

580+

39%

$16m Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

94%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

94%

$3m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

19%

Los Angeles R

17%

Seattle

19%

Los Angeles R

17%

$661m Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

51%

María Corina Machado

19%

Delcy Rodríguez

51%

María Corina Machado

19%

$2m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

29%

chance

$2m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

40%

chance

$820k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

42%

António José Seguro (IND)

31%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

42%

António José Seguro (IND)

31%

$94m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$178m Vol.

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? card icon

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

72%

chance

$158k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

41%

Kevin Hassett

37%

Kevin Warsh

41%

Kevin Hassett

37%

$156m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

3%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

3%

$209m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

23%

chance

$1m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

45%

chance

$6m Vol.

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of January? card icon

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of January?

↑ $100

7%

↑ $90

18%

↑ $100

7%

↑ $90

18%

$2m Vol.

Epstein client list released by...? card icon

Epstein client list released by June 30?

13%

chance

$222k Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on January 9? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on January 9?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$4m Vol.

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