Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to claim the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League title after advancing past Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16 and drawing an advantageous quarter-final tie at Sporting CP, while Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% buoyed by a commanding 10-2 aggregate demolition of Atalanta despite facing Real Madrid next. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) impressed with strong knockout wins over Newcastle and Chelsea respectively, positioning them for tense derbies against Atletico Madrid and Liverpool. The bunched odds underscore the knockout bracket's volatility, balanced paths to the late-April semifinals, home/away legs, and absence of a runaway favorite amid recent dominant performances across the last eight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$220,544,565 Vol.
$220,544,565 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$220,544,565 Vol.
$220,544,565 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to claim the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League title after advancing past Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16 and drawing an advantageous quarter-final tie at Sporting CP, while Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% buoyed by a commanding 10-2 aggregate demolition of Atalanta despite facing Real Madrid next. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) impressed with strong knockout wins over Newcastle and Chelsea respectively, positioning them for tense derbies against Atletico Madrid and Liverpool. The bunched odds underscore the knockout bracket's volatility, balanced paths to the late-April semifinals, home/away legs, and absence of a runaway favorite amid recent dominant performances across the last eight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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