Senegal's No. 12 FIFA ranking and unbeaten streak across seven recent matches (six wins) underpin trader consensus favoring them at 64.5% implied probability in this neutral-venue international friendly at Stade de France, despite absences of Sadio Mané (ankle injury) and Iliman Ndiaye (foot issue) announced last week. Direct 2026 World Cup qualification via topping CAF Group B, plus defensive anchors Kalidou Koulibaly and Idrissa Gueye, provide depth over Peru's No. 53 side, winless in their last 10 away games. Peru's 2-0 friendly win over Bolivia last December ended an eight-match drought, boosting draw pricing to 22.5%, but their poor form limits upset potential to 12.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Senegal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Senegal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Senegal's No. 12 FIFA ranking and unbeaten streak across seven recent matches (six wins) underpin trader consensus favoring them at 64.5% implied probability in this neutral-venue international friendly at Stade de France, despite absences of Sadio Mané (ankle injury) and Iliman Ndiaye (foot issue) announced last week. Direct 2026 World Cup qualification via topping CAF Group B, plus defensive anchors Kalidou Koulibaly and Idrissa Gueye, provide depth over Peru's No. 53 side, winless in their last 10 away games. Peru's 2-0 friendly win over Bolivia last December ended an eight-match drought, boosting draw pricing to 22.5%, but their poor form limits upset potential to 12.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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