Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, buoyed by just three losses across 49 matches and a perfect knockout record so far, including a strong round-of-16 progression, yet faces a stern test away at Sporting CP in the first leg of their quarter-final on April 7. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5% with only two defeats in 40 games and a dominant 10-2 aggregate rout in the last round, setting up a blockbuster clash at Real Madrid. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (11.5%) gained from emphatic wins over Newcastle and Chelsea, but Liverpool (7.5%) and Atletico (3.4%) loom as spoilers in equally tough ties, keeping the knockout phase wide open amid no clear path to the final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,022,785 Vol.
$222,022,785 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,022,785 Vol.
$222,022,785 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, buoyed by just three losses across 49 matches and a perfect knockout record so far, including a strong round-of-16 progression, yet faces a stern test away at Sporting CP in the first leg of their quarter-final on April 7. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5% with only two defeats in 40 games and a dominant 10-2 aggregate rout in the last round, setting up a blockbuster clash at Real Madrid. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (11.5%) gained from emphatic wins over Newcastle and Chelsea, but Liverpool (7.5%) and Atletico (3.4%) loom as spoilers in equally tough ties, keeping the knockout phase wide open amid no clear path to the final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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