Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after a composed 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over Leverkusen, securing a favorable quarterfinal path against Sporting CP, who scraped past Bodø/Glimt 5-3 on aggregate. Bayern Munich's demolition of Atalanta (10-2 aggregate) underpins their 21.5% standing, yet a blockbuster Real Madrid clash looms, where the Spanish giants advanced 5-1 over Manchester City but sit at just 10.5%. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) impressed with 8-3 and 8-2 aggregates versus Newcastle and Chelsea, respectively, fueling a tight race amid Spanish derby risks (Barcelona vs Atletico) and PSG-Liverpool intensity ahead of first legs April 7-8. Liverpool (7.5%) rebounded 4-1 past Galatasaray but faces a stern Paris test.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,403,561 Vol.
$222,403,561 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,403,561 Vol.
$222,403,561 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after a composed 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over Leverkusen, securing a favorable quarterfinal path against Sporting CP, who scraped past Bodø/Glimt 5-3 on aggregate. Bayern Munich's demolition of Atalanta (10-2 aggregate) underpins their 21.5% standing, yet a blockbuster Real Madrid clash looms, where the Spanish giants advanced 5-1 over Manchester City but sit at just 10.5%. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) impressed with 8-3 and 8-2 aggregates versus Newcastle and Chelsea, respectively, fueling a tight race amid Spanish derby risks (Barcelona vs Atletico) and PSG-Liverpool intensity ahead of first legs April 7-8. Liverpool (7.5%) rebounded 4-1 past Galatasaray but faces a stern Paris test.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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