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Congress Expulsions predictions & odds

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Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

47%

$17.8K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

13%

$1.2K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

72%

$4.8K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

60%

$4.0K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

3%

$7.4K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

93%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$5M Vol.

$141K today

$436K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

44%

$19.4K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

17%

$13.5K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

17%

Dong Jun

$126K Vol.

$149K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

36%

300-400k

$72.2K Vol.

$187K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

77%

Special Relationship

$526 Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

6%

$150K Vol.

$119K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

12%

$16.7K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

3%

$14.1K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$59.2K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

29%

$423 Vol.

$361 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

85%

$21.3K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

$17.3K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?

3%

$11.1K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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