Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the strong trader consensus against his removal before 2027. Ongoing purges of senior military and party figures have eliminated potential rivals and reinforced personal control, while preparations for the 21st Party Congress signal continuity rather than transition. Recent reports of health concerns and leadership reshuffles have not produced visible challenges or succession signals, consistent with Xi’s pattern of extending influence beyond prior norms. The 97 percent implied probability aligns with this stability, though abrupt health developments or an unforeseen elite backlash could still alter the timeline ahead of the congress.