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Geopolítica·Asuntos Mundiales

¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Asuntos Mundiales

¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Sí

8% chance
Polymarket

$7,580,280 Vol.

Sí

8% chance
Polymarket

$7,580,280 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong confidence in Xi Jinping's continued leadership through 2027, driven by his recent high-profile actions amid an intensifying anti-corruption purge of top military officials. In early March 2026, during China's Two Sessions, the standing committee removed three generals, following investigations into the army's highest-ranking officer in January for alleged nuclear secrets leaks and bribery—moves interpreted as Xi securing absolute loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Xi chaired key meetings, attended the National People's Congress opening on March 5, and urged alignment with his directives for the 2026-2030 period, signaling no immediate succession plans or health concerns. Absent verifiable challenges from party elders or Politburo rivals, these developments anchor the 91.6% "No" probability.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong confidence in Xi Jinping's continued leadership through 2027, driven by his recent high-profile actions amid an intensifying anti-corruption purge of top military officials. In early March 2026, during China's Two Sessions, the standing committee removed three generals, following investigations into the army's highest-ranking officer in January for alleged nuclear secrets leaks and bribery—moves interpreted as Xi securing absolute loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Xi chaired key meetings, attended the National People's Congress opening on March 5, and urged alignment with his directives for the 2026-2030 period, signaling no immediate succession plans or health concerns. Absent verifiable challenges from party elders or Politburo rivals, these developments anchor the 91.6% "No" probability.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong confidence in Xi Jinping's continued leadership through 2027, driven by his recent high-profile actions amid an intensifying anti-corruption purge of top military officials. In early March 2026, during China's Two Sessions, the standing committee removed three generals, following investigations into the army's highest-ranking officer in January for alleged nuclear secrets leaks and bribery—moves interpreted as Xi securing absolute loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Xi chaired key meetings, attended the National People's Congress opening on March 5, and urged alignment with his directives for the 2026-2030 period, signaling no immediate succession plans or health concerns. Absent verifiable challenges from party elders or Politburo rivals, these developments anchor the 91.6% "No" probability.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong confidence in Xi Jinping's continued leadership through 2027, driven by his recent high-profile actions amid an intensifying anti-corruption purge of top military officials. In early March 2026, during China's Two Sessions, the standing committee removed three generals, following investigations into the army's highest-ranking officer in January for alleged nuclear secrets leaks and bribery—moves interpreted as Xi securing absolute loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Xi chaired key meetings, attended the National People's Congress opening on March 5, and urged alignment with his directives for the 2026-2030 period, signaling no immediate succession plans or health concerns. Absent verifiable challenges from party elders or Politburo rivals, these developments anchor the 91.6% "No" probability.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Xi Jinping dejará el cargo antes de 2027?" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?" ha generado $7.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 3, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?" es "¿Xi Jinping dejará el cargo antes de 2027?" con solo 8%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Xi Jinping fuera antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.