Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive trader sentiment, with the December 9, 2024, announcement of an investigation into Admiral Miao Hua—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and a key political commissar—marking the latest high-profile probe. This follows 2023-2024 purges of defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe, Rocket Force commanders, and former foreign minister Qin Gang, aimed at rooting out corruption and ensuring loyalty in military and security apparatus amid Taiwan tensions. As the 21st National Congress nears in 2027, markets price in potential 2026 targets from the Politburo Standing Committee, CMC, or provincial leaders, though no specific nominations or timelines have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$24,293 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
21%
Li Xi
11%
Cai Qi
8%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Zhang Shengmin
8%
Wang Yi
6%
Wang Huning
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Zhao Leji
4%
$24,293 Vol.
Dong Jun
$8,153 Vol.
21%
Li Xi
$0 Vol.
11%
Cai Qi
$0 Vol.
8%
Ding Xuexiang
$0 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$10,416 Vol.
8%
Wang Yi
$0 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$0 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$0 Vol.
4%
Zhao Leji
$5,724 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive trader sentiment, with the December 9, 2024, announcement of an investigation into Admiral Miao Hua—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and a key political commissar—marking the latest high-profile probe. This follows 2023-2024 purges of defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe, Rocket Force commanders, and former foreign minister Qin Gang, aimed at rooting out corruption and ensuring loyalty in military and security apparatus amid Taiwan tensions. As the 21st National Congress nears in 2027, markets price in potential 2026 targets from the Politburo Standing Committee, CMC, or provincial leaders, though no specific nominations or timelines have emerged.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$24,293Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive trader sentiment, with the December 9, 2024, announcement of an investigation into Admiral Miao Hua—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and a key political commissar—marking the latest high-profile probe. This follows 2023-2024 purges of defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe, Rocket Force commanders, and former foreign minister Qin Gang, aimed at rooting out corruption and ensuring loyalty in military and security apparatus amid Taiwan tensions. As the 21st National Congress nears in 2027, markets price in potential 2026 targets from the Politburo Standing Committee, CMC, or provincial leaders, though no specific nominations or timelines have emerged.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$24,293Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive trader sentiment, with the December 9, 2024, announcement of an investigation into Admiral Miao Hua—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and a key political commissar—marking the latest high-profile probe. This follows 2023-2024 purges of defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe, Rocket Force commanders, and former foreign minister Qin Gang, aimed at rooting out corruption and ensuring loyalty in military and security apparatus amid Taiwan tensions. As the 21st National Congress nears in 2027, markets price in potential 2026 targets from the Politburo Standing Committee, CMC, or provincial leaders, though no specific nominations or timelines have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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