Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving local government funding legislation, but the motion failed decisively on May 19, 2026, with only 56 votes in favor—well short of the two-thirds threshold of 76 required in the 113-seat chamber. Under Taiwan's constitutional rules, presidential impeachment requires initiation by at least half the legislators, passage by a two-thirds supermajority, and subsequent review by the Constitutional Court. With just over two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and no new proceedings underway, traders see negligible scope for the required legislative steps to occur. The opposition's combined seats proved insufficient even in a unified push, and procedural timelines for hearings, reviews, and votes preclude rapid revival. Late-session maneuvers or unforeseen political shifts remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum or numerical backing at present.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?
¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,343,911 Vol.
$1,343,911 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,343,911 Vol.
$1,343,911 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving local government funding legislation, but the motion failed decisively on May 19, 2026, with only 56 votes in favor—well short of the two-thirds threshold of 76 required in the 113-seat chamber. Under Taiwan's constitutional rules, presidential impeachment requires initiation by at least half the legislators, passage by a two-thirds supermajority, and subsequent review by the Constitutional Court. With just over two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and no new proceedings underway, traders see negligible scope for the required legislative steps to occur. The opposition's combined seats proved insufficient even in a unified push, and procedural timelines for hearings, reviews, and votes preclude rapid revival. Late-session maneuvers or unforeseen political shifts remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum or numerical backing at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volumen
$1,343,911Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving local government funding legislation, but the motion failed decisively on May 19, 2026, with only 56 votes in favor—well short of the two-thirds threshold of 76 required in the 113-seat chamber. Under Taiwan's constitutional rules, presidential impeachment requires initiation by at least half the legislators, passage by a two-thirds supermajority, and subsequent review by the Constitutional Court. With just over two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and no new proceedings underway, traders see negligible scope for the required legislative steps to occur. The opposition's combined seats proved insufficient even in a unified push, and procedural timelines for hearings, reviews, and votes preclude rapid revival. Late-session maneuvers or unforeseen political shifts remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum or numerical backing at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$1,343,911Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving local government funding legislation, but the motion failed decisively on May 19, 2026, with only 56 votes in favor—well short of the two-thirds threshold of 76 required in the 113-seat chamber. Under Taiwan's constitutional rules, presidential impeachment requires initiation by at least half the legislators, passage by a two-thirds supermajority, and subsequent review by the Constitutional Court. With just over two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and no new proceedings underway, traders see negligible scope for the required legislative steps to occur. The opposition's combined seats proved insufficient even in a unified push, and procedural timelines for hearings, reviews, and votes preclude rapid revival. Late-session maneuvers or unforeseen political shifts remain theoretically possible but lack any supporting momentum or numerical backing at present.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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