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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
22%
$9m Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 19
69%
December 31
77%
$5m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
8%
January 31, 2026
20%
$24m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?
380-399
<1%
440-459
99%
$13m Vol.
MOUZ
73%
FaZe
28%
Live
$444k Vol.
FURIA
75%
Natus Vincere
26%
Natus
$600k Vol.
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
45%
chance
Yes
No
$96k Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
15%
$79k Vol.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 12?
3%
Up
Down
$46k Vol.
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
10%
$164k Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
24%
Pete Hegseth
$93k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
December 15
19%
$37m Vol.
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
0
89%
1-100
9%
$6m Vol.
David Friedberg
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Warsh
13%
$40m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
$53m Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
500B–600B
800B–900B
6%
$271k Vol.
Largest Company end of 2025?
NVIDIA
88%
Apple
$52m Vol.
Honduras Presidential Election
Nasry "Tito" Asfura
91%
Salvador Nasralla
$21m Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
Anthony Joshua
85%
$1m Vol.
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
59%
John Cornyn
27%
$568k Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?
↑ 105,000
11%
↑ 100,000
$105m Vol.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
16%
England
$18m Vol.
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
100%
Bitcoin above ___ on December 12?
78,000
80,000
$4m Vol.
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