Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
$1,645,330 Vol.
Timothée Chalamet 61%
Leonardo DiCaprio 26%
Wagner Moura 6.6%
Ethan Hawke 4.0%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Timothée Chalamet
$55,120 Vol.
61%
Timothée Chalamet
$55,120 Vol.
61%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$160,656 Vol.
26%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$160,656 Vol.
26%
Wagner Moura
$30,941 Vol.
7%
Wagner Moura
$30,941 Vol.
7%
Ethan Hawke
$103,281 Vol.
4%
Ethan Hawke
$103,281 Vol.
4%
Michael B. Jordan
$16,432 Vol.
2%
Michael B. Jordan
$16,432 Vol.
2%
Jeremy Allen White
$26,313 Vol.
2%
Jeremy Allen White
$26,313 Vol.
2%
Dwayne Johnson
$173,477 Vol.
1%
Dwayne Johnson
$173,477 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$19,122 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$19,122 Vol.
<1%
Paul Mescal
$32,719 Vol.
<1%
Paul Mescal
$32,719 Vol.
<1%
Jesse Plemons
$21,599 Vol.
<1%
Jesse Plemons
$21,599 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$122,227 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$122,227 Vol.
<1%
George Clooney
$21,378 Vol.
<1%
George Clooney
$21,378 Vol.
<1%
Colin Farrell
$434,167 Vol.
<1%
Colin Farrell
$434,167 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$269,667 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$269,667 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$158,231 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$158,231 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$1,645,330 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Timothée Chalamet 61%
Leonardo DiCaprio 26%
Wagner Moura 6.6%
Ethan Hawke 4.0%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Timothée Chalamet
61%
Leonardo DiCaprio
26%
Wagner Moura
7%
Ethan Hawke
4%
Michael B. Jordan
2%
Jeremy Allen White
2%
Dwayne Johnson
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Jesse Plemons
<1%
Brendan Fraser
<1%
George Clooney
<1%
Colin Farrell
<1%
Channing Tatum
<1%
Hugh Jackman
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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