Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

$1,857,864 Vol.

Timothée Chalamet 42%

Leonardo DiCaprio 27%

Ethan Hawke 16.8%

Wagner Moura 11.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,857,864
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC
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$1,857,864 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Timothée Chalamet 42%

Leonardo DiCaprio 27%

Ethan Hawke 16.8%

Wagner Moura 11.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet

$96,773 Vol.

42%

Leonardo DiCaprio

$169,612 Vol.

27%

Ethan Hawke

$112,524 Vol.

17%

Wagner Moura

$39,198 Vol.

12%

Michael B. Jordan

$25,180 Vol.

2%

Daniel Day-Lewis

$35,428 Vol.

2%

Dwayne Johnson

$216,416 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$37,790 Vol.

1%

Jesse Plemons

$27,664 Vol.

1%

Brendan Fraser

$127,210 Vol.

<1%

Channing Tatum

$273,935 Vol.

<1%

Jeremy Allen White

$47,891 Vol.

<1%

George Clooney

$29,969 Vol.

<1%

Colin Farrell

$439,980 Vol.

<1%

Hugh Jackman

$178,296 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,857,864
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.