Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
$1,141,804 Vol.
Timothée Chalamet 57%
Leonardo DiCaprio 26%
Wagner Moura 6.0%
Dwayne Johnson 4.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Timothée Chalamet
$26,385 Vol.
57%
Timothée Chalamet
$26,385 Vol.
57%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$21,872 Vol.
26%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$21,872 Vol.
26%
Wagner Moura
$13,909 Vol.
6%
Wagner Moura
$13,909 Vol.
6%
Dwayne Johnson
$17,460 Vol.
4%
Dwayne Johnson
$17,460 Vol.
4%
Jeremy Allen White
$16,294 Vol.
3%
Jeremy Allen White
$16,294 Vol.
3%
Michael B. Jordan
$7,485 Vol.
2%
Michael B. Jordan
$7,485 Vol.
2%
Jesse Plemons
$12,512 Vol.
1%
Jesse Plemons
$12,512 Vol.
1%
Ethan Hawke
$87,401 Vol.
1%
Ethan Hawke
$87,401 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$6,673 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$6,673 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$9,901 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$9,901 Vol.
1%
Paul Mescal
$18,184 Vol.
1%
Paul Mescal
$18,184 Vol.
1%
Colin Farrell
$424,736 Vol.
<1%
Colin Farrell
$424,736 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$247,610 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$247,610 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$97,203 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$97,203 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$134,179 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$134,179 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,141,804
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$1,141,804 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Timothée Chalamet 57%
Leonardo DiCaprio 26%
Wagner Moura 6.0%
Dwayne Johnson 4.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Timothée Chalamet
$26,385 Vol.
57%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$21,872 Vol.
26%
Wagner Moura
$13,909 Vol.
6%
Dwayne Johnson
$17,460 Vol.
4%
Jeremy Allen White
$16,294 Vol.
3%
Michael B. Jordan
$7,485 Vol.
2%
Jesse Plemons
$12,512 Vol.
1%
Ethan Hawke
$87,401 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$6,673 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$9,901 Vol.
1%
Paul Mescal
$18,184 Vol.
1%
Colin Farrell
$424,736 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$247,610 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$97,203 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$134,179 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$1,141,804
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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