Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

$6,983,467 Vol.

One Battle After Another 78%

Marty Supreme 8.3%

Hamnet 5%

Sinners 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,983,467
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM UTC
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$6,983,467 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another 78%

Marty Supreme 8.3%

Hamnet 5%

Sinners 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$264,566 Vol.

78%

Marty Supreme

$137,697 Vol.

8%

Hamnet

$197,034 Vol.

5%

Sinners

$90,111 Vol.

5%

Bugonia

$285,171 Vol.

2%

Sentimental Value

$163,284 Vol.

1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$161,552 Vol.

1%

Frankenstein

$392,311 Vol.

1%

It Was Just an Accident

$617,263 Vol.

1%

Wicked: For Good

$544,882 Vol.

<1%

No Other Choice

$705,776 Vol.

<1%

A House of Dynamite

$938,456 Vol.

<1%

Jay Kelly

$836,525 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$664,803 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$984,037 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$6,983,467
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.