Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
$6,271,884 Vol.
One Battle After Another 70%
Hamnet 12%
Marty Supreme 7.9%
Sinners 4.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
One Battle After Another
$227,752 Vol.
70%
One Battle After Another
$227,752 Vol.
70%
Hamnet
$165,029 Vol.
12%
Hamnet
$165,029 Vol.
12%
Marty Supreme
$107,581 Vol.
8%
Marty Supreme
$107,581 Vol.
8%
Sinners
$70,413 Vol.
5%
Sinners
$70,413 Vol.
5%
Bugonia
$268,842 Vol.
3%
Bugonia
$268,842 Vol.
3%
Sentimental Value
$48,897 Vol.
1%
Sentimental Value
$48,897 Vol.
1%
Frankenstein
$359,655 Vol.
1%
Frankenstein
$359,655 Vol.
1%
Wicked: For Good
$526,809 Vol.
1%
Wicked: For Good
$526,809 Vol.
1%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
$103,144 Vol.
1%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
$103,144 Vol.
1%
It Was Just an Accident
$548,638 Vol.
1%
It Was Just an Accident
$548,638 Vol.
1%
Jay Kelly
$806,441 Vol.
<1%
Jay Kelly
$806,441 Vol.
<1%
No Other Choice
$597,706 Vol.
<1%
No Other Choice
$597,706 Vol.
<1%
A House of Dynamite
$875,846 Vol.
<1%
A House of Dynamite
$875,846 Vol.
<1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
$607,310 Vol.
<1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
$607,310 Vol.
<1%
Rental Family
$957,822 Vol.
<1%
Rental Family
$957,822 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$6,271,884 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
One Battle After Another 70%
Hamnet 12%
Marty Supreme 7.9%
Sinners 4.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
One Battle After Another
70%
Hamnet
12%
Marty Supreme
8%
Sinners
5%
Bugonia
3%
Sentimental Value
1%
Frankenstein
1%
Wicked: For Good
1%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1%
Jay Kelly
<1%
No Other Choice
<1%
A House of Dynamite
<1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
<1%
Rental Family
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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