Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Q: What is the "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" prediction market?

"Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juliana Stratton" at 100%, followed by "Steve Botsford Jr." at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

Q: How much trading activity has "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" generated on Polymarket?

As of today, "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $193.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

Q: How do I trade on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

To trade on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

Q: What are the current odds for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

The current frontrunner for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Juliana Stratton" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Botsford Jr." at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

Q: How will "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" be resolved?

The resolution rules for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Q: Can I follow "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" without placing a trade?

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Q: Why are Polymarket's odds for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" considered reliable?

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $193.7K traded on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner," these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket's prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

Q: How do I start trading on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

To place your first trade on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

Q: What does a price of 100¢ for "Juliana Stratton" mean?

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Juliana Stratton" in the "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Juliana Stratton" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

Q: When does the "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market close?

The "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

Politics·Primaries

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Juliana Stratton 100.0%

Steve Botsford Jr. <1%

Awisi Bustos <1%

Adam Delgado <1%

$193,735 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Steve Botsford Jr.

$0 Vol.

Awisi Bustos

$0 Vol.

Adam Delgado

$0 Vol.

Raja Krishnamoorthi

$0 Vol.

Bryan Maxwell

$0 Vol.

Adair Rodriquez

$0 Vol.

Jump Shepherd

$0 Vol.

Christopher Swann

$0 Vol.

Sean Brown

$0 Vol.

Jonathan Dean

$0 Vol.

Robin Kelly

$0 Vol.

Stanley Leavell

$0 Vol.

Robert Palmer

$0 Vol.

Kevin Ryan

$0 Vol.

Juliana Stratton

$193,735 Vol.

Yes

Anthony Williams

$0 Vol.

Juliana Stratton 100.0%

Steve Botsford Jr. <1%

Awisi Bustos <1%

Adam Delgado <1%

$193,735 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Steve Botsford Jr.

$0 Vol.

Awisi Bustos

$0 Vol.

Adam Delgado

$0 Vol.

Raja Krishnamoorthi

$0 Vol.

Bryan Maxwell

$0 Vol.

Adair Rodriquez

$0 Vol.

Jump Shepherd

$0 Vol.

Christopher Swann

$0 Vol.

Sean Brown

$0 Vol.

Jonathan Dean

$0 Vol.

Robin Kelly

$0 Vol.

Stanley Leavell

$0 Vol.

Robert Palmer

$0 Vol.

Kevin Ryan

$0 Vol.

Juliana Stratton

$193,735 Vol.

Yes

Anthony Williams

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois. If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly favor Juliana Stratton (100%) to win the Illinois Democratic Senate primary, driven by her high name recognition as former lieutenant governor, strong fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, and key endorsements from Governor JB Pritzker and Senate Democratic leaders. Recent polls show her leading by 40+ points among declared candidates, with fragmented opposition from lesser-known challengers like Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly splitting anti-Stratton votes. This consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on her organizational edge in Chicago and Cook County. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile entrant consolidating support or an unforeseen scandal eroding her lead before the March primary, though current momentum points to a decisive victory.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 18, 2026, 9:14 AM UTC

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

50%

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juliana Stratton" at 100%, followed by "Steve Botsford Jr." at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $193.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Juliana Stratton" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Botsford Jr." at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $193.7K traded on “Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Juliana Stratton" in the "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Juliana Stratton" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market has an active community of 23 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Related

Comments (23)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

What are the current odds for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

How will "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" be resolved?

Can I follow "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "Juliana Stratton" mean?

When does the "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market close?

What are traders saying about "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

What is Polymarket?