Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

$25m Vol.

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Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$624m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

48%

Kevin Hassett

41%

Kevin Warsh

48%

Kevin Hassett

41%

$61m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

6%

January 31, 2026

17%

December 31, 2025

6%

January 31, 2026

17%

$26m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

67%

December 31

83%

December 19

67%

December 31

83%

$6m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

87%

>$2B

79%

>$1B

87%

>$2B

79%

$24m Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

90%

Rizo Velovic

5%

Savannah Louie

90%

Rizo Velovic

5%

$454k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

87%

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

87%

$2m Vol.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025? card icon

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0

89%

1-100

9%

0

89%

1-100

9%

$7m Vol.

David Friedberg image

David Friedberg

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NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

71%

Drake Maye

13%

Matthew Stafford

71%

Drake Maye

13%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

$181k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 15

<1%

December 31

33%

December 15

<1%

December 31

33%

$581k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 31

19%

January 15, 2026

28%

December 31

19%

January 15, 2026

28%

$39m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$57m Vol.

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How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

8 - 8.1B

2%

8.1 - 8.2B

3%

8 - 8.1B

2%

8.1 - 8.2B

3%

$176k Vol.

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner card icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

100%

Michael Mizrachi

<1%

Sam Soverel

100%

Michael Mizrachi

<1%

$230m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?

240-259

10%

260-279

78%

240-259

10%

260-279

78%

$15m Vol.

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

53%

Marco Rubio

8%

J.D. Vance

53%

Marco Rubio

8%

$120m Vol.