Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$49M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

4

Ends in 25 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5M Vol.

$82.6K today

$957K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

21%

April 30

$585K Vol.

$63.3K today

$93.3K Liq.

46

Ends in 26 days

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

80%

No change

$3M Vol.

$301K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

26%

3.5%

$6M Vol.

$283K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

24%

April 30

$53.8K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

18

Ends in 26 days

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

47%

180-199

$4.6K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$498K Liq.

138

Ends in 7 months

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

8%

$38.3K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

33%

160-179

$20.0K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$421K today

$2M Liq.

353

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

45%

PB 5-10%

$20.7K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

4%

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$740K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

13

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$799K Liq.

63

Ends in over 2 years

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$58.9K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

77%

Tisza

$296K Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

31%

85-89

$23.0K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Points: Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 158 active markets for Points: Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Points: Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.