Skip to main content

Payroll predictions & odds

·
KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

70%

Zach Dembo

$5.1K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MLB: Triples Leader

MLB: Triples Leader

32%

Corbin Carroll

$2.4K Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

42%

Other (Season Cancelled)

$2M Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

MLB: Batting Average Leader

MLB: Batting Average Leader

17%

Luis Arraez

$610 Vol.

$203K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

65%

Shohei Ohtani

$19.4K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MLB: Runs Leader

MLB: Runs Leader

37%

Shohei Ohtani

$2.4K Vol.

$177K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

PLL: 2026 Goalie of the Year

PLL: 2026 Goalie of the Year

50%

Logan McNaney

$5 Vol.

$25 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

31%

Chandler Simpson

$5.6K Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

MLB: Doubles Leader

MLB: Doubles Leader

10%

Matt Olson

$6.4K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

32%

0 – 50k

$424 Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$1.9K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$621 Vol.

$105 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

84%

Up

$25.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

40%

Keith Sonderling

$45.0K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

32%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$3.4K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

53%

↓ 75,000

$18M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

96%

$98

$2.1K Vol.

$445 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Payroll.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Payroll that lets you track or trade on predictions like “KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Payroll predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.