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icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Shohei Ohtani 62%

Corbin Carroll 6%

Andy Pages 6%

Elly De La Cruz 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,808 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 62%

Corbin Carroll 6%

Andy Pages 6%

Elly De La Cruz 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,808 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$7,837 Vol.

62%

Corbin Carroll

$191 Vol.

6%

Andy Pages

$0 Vol.

6%

Elly De La Cruz

$251 Vol.

4%

Francisco Lindor

$268 Vol.

3%

Juan Soto

$1,572 Vol.

3%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$195 Vol.

3%

Mookie Betts

$73 Vol.

2%

Bryce Harper

$146 Vol.

2%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$86 Vol.

1%

Kyle Tucker

$188 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani holds a commanding 59.5% implied probability for NL MVP, driven by his NL Pitcher of the Month award for March/April (0.60 ERA across five starts) and sustained mound dominance (0.97 ERA, MLB-low early), where traders prize his two-way rarity despite a .248 batting average and six homers; recent first-place votes in MLB's debut 2026 MVP poll solidified his lead two days ago, even after allowing his first homers. Corbin Carroll trails at 7% with a robust .256/.842 slash line and 19 RBIs fueling Diamondbacks' surge, while Dodgers outfielder Andy Pages' blistering .326 average and 27 RBIs (early NL RBI lead) propel his 6% share. The long season ahead, with stat fluctuations and team races key, tempers consensus as challengers like Elly De La Cruz lurk.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,808
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani holds a commanding 59.5% implied probability for NL MVP, driven by his NL Pitcher of the Month award for March/April (0.60 ERA across five starts) and sustained mound dominance (0.97 ERA, MLB-low early), where traders prize his two-way rarity despite a .248 batting average and six homers; recent first-place votes in MLB's debut 2026 MVP poll solidified his lead two days ago, even after allowing his first homers. Corbin Carroll trails at 7% with a robust .256/.842 slash line and 19 RBIs fueling Diamondbacks' surge, while Dodgers outfielder Andy Pages' blistering .326 average and 27 RBIs (early NL RBI lead) propel his 6% share. The long season ahead, with stat fluctuations and team races key, tempers consensus as challengers like Elly De La Cruz lurk.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,808
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 62%, followed by "Corbin Carroll" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL MVP," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Corbin Carroll" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.