Skip to main content
Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Didier Fuentes 62%

Owen Caissie 62%

Carson Benge 61%

Logan Henderson 59%

Polymarket
NEW

Didier Fuentes 62%

Owen Caissie 62%

Carson Benge 61%

Logan Henderson 59%

Polymarket
NEW

Didier Fuentes

$0 Vol.

62%

Owen Caissie

$0 Vol.

62%

Carson Benge

$0 Vol.

61%

Logan Henderson

$0 Vol.

59%

Sal Stewart

$162 Vol.

38%

Robby Snelling

$0 Vol.

30%

Nolan McLean

$1,569 Vol.

28%

Zac Veen

$0 Vol.

27%

JJ Wetherholt

$251 Vol.

21%

Rhett Lowder

$0 Vol.

19%

Moises Ballesteros

$194 Vol.

19%

Justin Crawford

$100 Vol.

16%

Andrew Painter

$272 Vol.

12%

Jonah Tong

$0 Vol.

9%

Ryan Waldschmidt

$0 Vol.

8%

Bryce Eldridge

$0 Vol.

5%

Charlie Condon

$0 Vol.

5%

Jett Williams

$0 Vol.

5%

Konnor Griffin

$190 Vol.

4%

Bubba Chandler

$130 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sal Stewart's explosive early-season power surge—boasting five home runs, including a pair of three-run shots on April 15—has edged him ahead as the trader consensus frontrunner for NL Rookie of the Year, with implied probabilities hovering in the mid-30s amid a hyper-competitive field. Mets pitcher Nolan McLean's dominant debut (eight strikeouts over five innings on March 29) and subsequent quality starts keep him close, while Marlins outfielder Owen Caissie's steady 12 RBIs provide RBI production in a pack where hitters like Carson Benge and Robby Snelling vie through plate discipline and velocity. Small-sample volatility defines the race, with no player exceeding 37% implied odds; differentiation hinges on sustained WAR accumulation, injury avoidance, and role stability through May's grueling schedule, as voters historically reward volume stats from everyday contributors over flash.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,868
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sal Stewart's explosive early-season power surge—boasting five home runs, including a pair of three-run shots on April 15—has edged him ahead as the trader consensus frontrunner for NL Rookie of the Year, with implied probabilities hovering in the mid-30s amid a hyper-competitive field. Mets pitcher Nolan McLean's dominant debut (eight strikeouts over five innings on March 29) and subsequent quality starts keep him close, while Marlins outfielder Owen Caissie's steady 12 RBIs provide RBI production in a pack where hitters like Carson Benge and Robby Snelling vie through plate discipline and velocity. Small-sample volatility defines the race, with no player exceeding 37% implied odds; differentiation hinges on sustained WAR accumulation, injury avoidance, and role stability through May's grueling schedule, as voters historically reward volume stats from everyday contributors over flash.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,868
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

43%
Market icon

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

62%
Market icon

Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

26%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sal Stewart" at 38%, followed by "Didier Fuentes" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is "Sal Stewart" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Didier Fuentes" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.