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Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 AL MVP
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Aaron Judge 48%

Yordan Alvarez 15.6%

Bobby Witt Jr. 14%

Jose Ramirez 3.1%

Polymarket

$49,022 Vol.

Aaron Judge 48%

Yordan Alvarez 15.6%

Bobby Witt Jr. 14%

Jose Ramirez 3.1%

Polymarket

$49,022 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$1,434 Vol.

48%

Yordan Alvarez

$1,478 Vol.

16%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$1,427 Vol.

14%

Jose Ramirez

$809 Vol.

3%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$1,515 Vol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$85 Vol.

2%

Ben Rice

$0 Vol.

2%

Gunnar Henderson

$378 Vol.

2%

Mike Trout

$85 Vol.

1%

Julio Rodriguez

$41,394 Vol.

1%

Corey Seager

$418 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 47.5% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, propelled by his MLB-leading 15 home runs—highlighted by a solo shot on May 6 versus Texas—and .270 average with 1.029 OPS through 39 games, powering the Yankees' AL East-leading 26-13 mark. MLB.com's inaugural poll last week ranked him No. 1, affirming his three-time winner pedigree amid Yankee Stadium's short porch boosting his barrel rate to 26.7%. Yordan Alvarez sits second at 15.6% (.324 AVG, 13 HR, 1.080 OPS), scorching post-2025 injury woes with a 115.9-mph blast on May 8 and April's MLB-leading 12 homers at low 9.8% strikeouts. Bobby Witt Jr.'s 13% reflects Royals' .299 hitter's speed (12 SB) but modest 4 HR pace, underscoring early power gaps in a marathon race.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,022
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 47.5% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, propelled by his MLB-leading 15 home runs—highlighted by a solo shot on May 6 versus Texas—and .270 average with 1.029 OPS through 39 games, powering the Yankees' AL East-leading 26-13 mark. MLB.com's inaugural poll last week ranked him No. 1, affirming his three-time winner pedigree amid Yankee Stadium's short porch boosting his barrel rate to 26.7%. Yordan Alvarez sits second at 15.6% (.324 AVG, 13 HR, 1.080 OPS), scorching post-2025 injury woes with a 115.9-mph blast on May 8 and April's MLB-leading 12 homers at low 9.8% strikeouts. Bobby Witt Jr.'s 13% reflects Royals' .299 hitter's speed (12 SB) but modest 4 HR pace, underscoring early power gaps in a marathon race.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,022
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 48%, followed by "Yordan Alvarez" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " has generated $49K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL MVP ," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is "Aaron Judge" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.