Bobby Witt Jr., Aaron Judge, and Gunnar Henderson lead trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP with implied probabilities tightly bunched at 36.5%, 29.5%, and 26.1%, reflecting their top-three Steamer projections and monster 2025 outputs—Witt's 8.0 fWAR, Judge's repeat MVP on 10.1 fWAR, and Henderson's breakout power. Through mid-April's small sample, the Yankees top the AL East at 8-4 despite Judge's .222 start with one homer in 12 games, while Royals and Orioles cling to winning records amid Central and East battles. Yordan Alvarez's blistering early surge—six homers, 1.480 OPS in 24 at-bats—fuels his 14% share, but healthy rosters and schedule strength keep the race wide open for sustained slash lines, RBI, and team success.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBobby Witt Jr. 35%
Aaron Judge 30%
Gunnar Henderson 25.9%
Yordan Alvarez 14.0%
$42,809 Vol.
$42,809 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
35%
Aaron Judge
30%
Gunnar Henderson
26%
Yordan Alvarez
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Julio Rodriguez
8%
Cal Raleigh
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Corey Seager
5%
Bobby Witt Jr. 35%
Aaron Judge 30%
Gunnar Henderson 25.9%
Yordan Alvarez 14.0%
$42,809 Vol.
$42,809 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
35%
Aaron Judge
30%
Gunnar Henderson
26%
Yordan Alvarez
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Julio Rodriguez
8%
Cal Raleigh
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Corey Seager
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bobby Witt Jr., Aaron Judge, and Gunnar Henderson lead trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP with implied probabilities tightly bunched at 36.5%, 29.5%, and 26.1%, reflecting their top-three Steamer projections and monster 2025 outputs—Witt's 8.0 fWAR, Judge's repeat MVP on 10.1 fWAR, and Henderson's breakout power. Through mid-April's small sample, the Yankees top the AL East at 8-4 despite Judge's .222 start with one homer in 12 games, while Royals and Orioles cling to winning records amid Central and East battles. Yordan Alvarez's blistering early surge—six homers, 1.480 OPS in 24 at-bats—fuels his 14% share, but healthy rosters and schedule strength keep the race wide open for sustained slash lines, RBI, and team success.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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