Market icon
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Market icon
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Aaron Judge 34%

Bobby Witt Jr. 20%

Cal Raleigh 15%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 12%

Polymarket

$42,283 Vol.

Aaron Judge 34%

Bobby Witt Jr. 20%

Cal Raleigh 15%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 12%

Polymarket

$42,283 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$303 Vol.

34%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$0 Vol.

20%

Cal Raleigh

$0 Vol.

15%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$777 Vol.

12%

Yordan Alvarez

$0 Vol.

9%

Mike Trout

$0 Vol.

9%

Julio Rodriguez

$41,203 Vol.

7%

Corey Seager

$0 Vol.

7%

Jose Ramirez

$0 Vol.

6%

Gunnar Henderson

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 34% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, reflecting his back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 with elite slash lines and power production, bolstered by his first home run of the season on March 28 against the Giants after a slow Opening Day debut. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 20.5% as the top challenger, driven by his 8.0 WAR campaign last year, elite defense, and 35/30 power-speed potential amid Kansas City Royals' AL Central contention. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (11%) gains from his blistering 2025 postseason (.397 average, eight homers), while Yordan Alvarez and Mike Trout (9.2% and 9%) benefit from health stability and Houston/Anaheim lineup protection; Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh (7.5% each) draw support from Seattle's rising rotation and Raleigh's catcher pop. Early-season form and projected team standings shape this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,283
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 34% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, reflecting his back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025 with elite slash lines and power production, bolstered by his first home run of the season on March 28 against the Giants after a slow Opening Day debut. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 20.5% as the top challenger, driven by his 8.0 WAR campaign last year, elite defense, and 35/30 power-speed potential amid Kansas City Royals' AL Central contention. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (11%) gains from his blistering 2025 postseason (.397 average, eight homers), while Yordan Alvarez and Mike Trout (9.2% and 9%) benefit from health stability and Houston/Anaheim lineup protection; Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh (7.5% each) draw support from Seattle's rising rotation and Raleigh's catcher pop. Early-season form and projected team standings shape this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,283
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

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Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

33%
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Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

28%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 34%, followed by "Bobby Witt Jr." at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " has generated $42.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL MVP ," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is "Aaron Judge" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bobby Witt Jr." at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.