**Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain locked in a tight race for the MLB home run crown, tied at 45 apiece with only a handful of regular-season games left.** Schwarber’s edge in implied probability reflects his veteran consistency, favorable remaining schedule with the Phillies, and proven late-season power output. Crow-Armstrong’s 32% share stems from his strong recent surge—including multiple multi-homer games—and continued opportunities in the Cubs lineup, though he trails slightly in overall experience at this stage. The steep drop-off to Junior Caminero (41 HR) and others underscores how far behind the field sits, with little realistic path to close the gap before the season ends. Trader consensus prices these two well ahead based on current totals, pace, and schedule context.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKyle Schwarber 53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 39%
Junior Caminero 2.4%
Hunter Goodman 1.0%
$3,194,614 Vol.
$3,194,614 Vol.
Kyle Schwarber
53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
32%
Junior Caminero
2%
Hunter Goodman
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Yordan Alvarez
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 39%
Junior Caminero 2.4%
Hunter Goodman 1.0%
$3,194,614 Vol.
$3,194,614 Vol.
Kyle Schwarber
53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
32%
Junior Caminero
2%
Hunter Goodman
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Yordan Alvarez
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain locked in a tight race for the MLB home run crown, tied at 45 apiece with only a handful of regular-season games left.** Schwarber’s edge in implied probability reflects his veteran consistency, favorable remaining schedule with the Phillies, and proven late-season power output. Crow-Armstrong’s 32% share stems from his strong recent surge—including multiple multi-homer games—and continued opportunities in the Cubs lineup, though he trails slightly in overall experience at this stage. The steep drop-off to Junior Caminero (41 HR) and others underscores how far behind the field sits, with little realistic path to close the gap before the season ends. Trader consensus prices these two well ahead based on current totals, pace, and schedule context.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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