Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kyle Schwarber sit essentially tied atop the 2026 MLB home run leaderboard with 45 each, driving the market's tight 48.5%-48.0% split as the regular season concludes. Crow-Armstrong has delivered a breakout campaign for the Cubs, posting a .282/.373/.579 slash line across 157 games while adding speed and multi-hit outbursts in September. Schwarber has maintained his signature power pace for the Phillies, reaching the mark in 151 games with consistent production despite a lower batting average. With only days remaining and both players facing favorable matchups, any late long balls will decide the outcome, leaving little separation between the frontrunners and minimal implied probability for the rest of the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Crow-Armstrong 49%
Kyle Schwarber 48%
Junior Caminero 1.8%
Hunter Goodman 1.0%
$3,195,230 Vol.
$3,195,230 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Pete Crow-Armstrong
49%
Kyle Schwarber
48%
Junior Caminero
2%
Hunter Goodman
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Yordan Alvarez
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 49%
Kyle Schwarber 48%
Junior Caminero 1.8%
Hunter Goodman 1.0%
$3,195,230 Vol.
$3,195,230 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Pete Crow-Armstrong
$731 Vol.
49%
Kyle Schwarber
$50,367 Vol.
48%
Junior Caminero
$5,372 Vol.
2%
Hunter Goodman
$48 Vol.
1%
Matt Olson
$5,473 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$3,542 Vol.
1%
Yordan Alvarez
$15,067 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$649,418 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$476 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$659 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$535 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,749,624 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
James Wood
$9,509 Vol.
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
$10,732 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$734 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$471,292 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$827 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$206,030 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kyle Schwarber sit essentially tied atop the 2026 MLB home run leaderboard with 45 each, driving the market's tight 48.5%-48.0% split as the regular season concludes. Crow-Armstrong has delivered a breakout campaign for the Cubs, posting a .282/.373/.579 slash line across 157 games while adding speed and multi-hit outbursts in September. Schwarber has maintained his signature power pace for the Phillies, reaching the mark in 151 games with consistent production despite a lower batting average. With only days remaining and both players facing favorable matchups, any late long balls will decide the outcome, leaving little separation between the frontrunners and minimal implied probability for the rest of the field.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,195,230End Date
Oct 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kyle Schwarber sit essentially tied atop the 2026 MLB home run leaderboard with 45 each, driving the market's tight 48.5%-48.0% split as the regular season concludes. Crow-Armstrong has delivered a breakout campaign for the Cubs, posting a .282/.373/.579 slash line across 157 games while adding speed and multi-hit outbursts in September. Schwarber has maintained his signature power pace for the Phillies, reaching the mark in 151 games with consistent production despite a lower batting average. With only days remaining and both players facing favorable matchups, any late long balls will decide the outcome, leaving little separation between the frontrunners and minimal implied probability for the rest of the field.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,195,230End Date
Oct 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kyle Schwarber sit essentially tied atop the 2026 MLB home run leaderboard with 45 each, driving the market's tight 48.5%-48.0% split as the regular season concludes. Crow-Armstrong has delivered a breakout campaign for the Cubs, posting a .282/.373/.579 slash line across 157 games while adding speed and multi-hit outbursts in September. Schwarber has maintained his signature power pace for the Phillies, reaching the mark in 151 games with consistent production despite a lower batting average. With only days remaining and both players facing favorable matchups, any late long balls will decide the outcome, leaving little separation between the frontrunners and minimal implied probability for the rest of the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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