Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain locked in a tight MLB home run race heading into the final week, each with 45 long balls according to recent reports. Schwarber’s consistent power output for the Phillies, including multiple multi-HR stretches, underpins his 52.5% implied probability as the leader. Crow-Armstrong’s 33.5% reflects his hot September surge for the Cubs, featuring several multi-homer games, 119 runs scored, and strong on-base production that keeps him within striking distance. Lower-priced names like Matt Olson (around 40 HR) and others trail significantly, with limited remaining schedule opportunities and no comparable recent momentum to close the gap in this season-long totals market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKyle Schwarber 53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 47%
Junior Caminero 3.3%
Hunter Goodman 1.0%
$3,194,285 Vol.
$3,194,285 Vol.
Oct 15, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
34%
Junior Caminero
3%
Hunter Goodman
1%
Matt Olson
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Yordan Alvarez
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 47%
Junior Caminero 3.3%
Hunter Goodman 1.0%
$3,194,285 Vol.
$3,194,285 Vol.
Oct 15, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$50,132 Vol.
53%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
$258 Vol.
34%
Junior Caminero
$5,307 Vol.
3%
Hunter Goodman
$48 Vol.
1%
Matt Olson
$5,408 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$3,542 Vol.
1%
Yordan Alvarez
$15,002 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$649,418 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$476 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$659 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$535 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,749,624 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
James Wood
$9,509 Vol.
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
$10,690 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$734 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$471,292 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$827 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$206,030 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain locked in a tight MLB home run race heading into the final week, each with 45 long balls according to recent reports. Schwarber’s consistent power output for the Phillies, including multiple multi-HR stretches, underpins his 52.5% implied probability as the leader. Crow-Armstrong’s 33.5% reflects his hot September surge for the Cubs, featuring several multi-homer games, 119 runs scored, and strong on-base production that keeps him within striking distance. Lower-priced names like Matt Olson (around 40 HR) and others trail significantly, with limited remaining schedule opportunities and no comparable recent momentum to close the gap in this season-long totals market.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,194,285End Date
Oct 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain locked in a tight MLB home run race heading into the final week, each with 45 long balls according to recent reports. Schwarber’s consistent power output for the Phillies, including multiple multi-HR stretches, underpins his 52.5% implied probability as the leader. Crow-Armstrong’s 33.5% reflects his hot September surge for the Cubs, featuring several multi-homer games, 119 runs scored, and strong on-base production that keeps him within striking distance. Lower-priced names like Matt Olson (around 40 HR) and others trail significantly, with limited remaining schedule opportunities and no comparable recent momentum to close the gap in this season-long totals market.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,194,285End Date
Oct 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain locked in a tight MLB home run race heading into the final week, each with 45 long balls according to recent reports. Schwarber’s consistent power output for the Phillies, including multiple multi-HR stretches, underpins his 52.5% implied probability as the leader. Crow-Armstrong’s 33.5% reflects his hot September surge for the Cubs, featuring several multi-homer games, 119 runs scored, and strong on-base production that keeps him within striking distance. Lower-priced names like Matt Olson (around 40 HR) and others trail significantly, with limited remaining schedule opportunities and no comparable recent momentum to close the gap in this season-long totals market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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