Kyle Schwarber holds a clear lead in the 2026 MLB home run race with approximately 44-45 long balls for the Phillies, driven by consistent extra-base power and several multi-homer games in September. Junior Caminero sits second with 41 for the Rays, while Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and Pete Alonso hover near 40. With roughly one week remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent form—highlighted by grand slams and timely blasts—position him as the trader favorite at over 50% implied probability. Limited remaining games reduce catch-up potential for the pack, though any hot streak or injury could shift the narrow margins among contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKyle Schwarber 52%
Junior Caminero 2.3%
Matt Olson <1%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,193,744 Vol.
$3,193,744 Vol.
Oct 15, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
52%
Junior Caminero
2%
Matt Olson
1%
Yordan Alvarez
1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 52%
Junior Caminero 2.3%
Matt Olson <1%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,193,744 Vol.
$3,193,744 Vol.
Oct 15, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$49,953 Vol.
52%
Junior Caminero
$5,306 Vol.
2%
Matt Olson
$5,408 Vol.
1%
Yordan Alvarez
$15,002 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$3,492 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$649,418 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$476 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$659 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$535 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,749,624 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
James Wood
$9,509 Vol.
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
$10,685 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$734 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$471,292 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$827 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$206,030 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds a clear lead in the 2026 MLB home run race with approximately 44-45 long balls for the Phillies, driven by consistent extra-base power and several multi-homer games in September. Junior Caminero sits second with 41 for the Rays, while Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and Pete Alonso hover near 40. With roughly one week remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent form—highlighted by grand slams and timely blasts—position him as the trader favorite at over 50% implied probability. Limited remaining games reduce catch-up potential for the pack, though any hot streak or injury could shift the narrow margins among contenders.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,193,744End Date
Oct 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds a clear lead in the 2026 MLB home run race with approximately 44-45 long balls for the Phillies, driven by consistent extra-base power and several multi-homer games in September. Junior Caminero sits second with 41 for the Rays, while Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and Pete Alonso hover near 40. With roughly one week remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent form—highlighted by grand slams and timely blasts—position him as the trader favorite at over 50% implied probability. Limited remaining games reduce catch-up potential for the pack, though any hot streak or injury could shift the narrow margins among contenders.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,193,744End Date
Oct 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds a clear lead in the 2026 MLB home run race with approximately 44-45 long balls for the Phillies, driven by consistent extra-base power and several multi-homer games in September. Junior Caminero sits second with 41 for the Rays, while Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and Pete Alonso hover near 40. With roughly one week remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent form—highlighted by grand slams and timely blasts—position him as the trader favorite at over 50% implied probability. Limited remaining games reduce catch-up potential for the pack, though any hot streak or injury could shift the narrow margins among contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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