Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the MLB stolen bases race with 49 swipes, three ahead of Chandler Simpson and well clear of the rest of the field as the regular season winds down. His elite sprint speed, aggressive base-running approach, and consistent opportunities on the bases have fueled a late surge that included breaking the Nationals’ single-season franchise record in late September. Traders have priced this dominance into the market at over 90 percent implied probability, reflecting the limited remaining games and the difficulty for pursuers to close such a gap. A late injury to Nuñez or an unusually aggressive stretch from Simpson could narrow the margin, though the current pace and defensive adjustments against other speed threats make a reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNasim Nuñez 91%
Chandler Simpson 3.6%
Pete Crow-Armstrong <1%
Bobby Witt Jr. <1%
$684,855 Vol.
$684,855 Vol.
Nasim Nuñez
91%
Chandler Simpson
4%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%
Randy Arozarena
<1%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
José Caballero
<1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
David Hamilton
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
Nasim Nuñez 91%
Chandler Simpson 3.6%
Pete Crow-Armstrong <1%
Bobby Witt Jr. <1%
$684,855 Vol.
$684,855 Vol.
Nasim Nuñez
91%
Chandler Simpson
4%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%
Randy Arozarena
<1%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
José Caballero
<1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
David Hamilton
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the MLB stolen bases race with 49 swipes, three ahead of Chandler Simpson and well clear of the rest of the field as the regular season winds down. His elite sprint speed, aggressive base-running approach, and consistent opportunities on the bases have fueled a late surge that included breaking the Nationals’ single-season franchise record in late September. Traders have priced this dominance into the market at over 90 percent implied probability, reflecting the limited remaining games and the difficulty for pursuers to close such a gap. A late injury to Nuñez or an unusually aggressive stretch from Simpson could narrow the margin, though the current pace and defensive adjustments against other speed threats make a reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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