Nasim Nuñez and Chandler Simpson lead MLB stolen bases leader markets at 59.5% and 49.5% implied probability because they hold the top totals with roughly 46-47 steals apiece entering the final week of the 2026 regular season. Nuñez has maintained a high attempt rate for the Nationals despite a low batting average, while Simpson has posted strong efficiency and recent volume for the Rays after earlier inconsistency. Bobby Witt Jr. sits close at 43 steals but trails with limited games left to close the gap. Other contenders like Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain well back, reflecting the established pace and slim remaining schedule that favors the current frontrunners in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChandler Simpson 47.2%
Nasim Nuñez 45%
Bobby Witt Jr. 4.4%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1.4%
$683,100 Vol.
$683,100 Vol.
Chandler Simpson
45%
Nasim Nuñez
60%
Bobby Witt Jr.
10%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
1%
Randy Arozarena
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
José Caballero
<1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
David Hamilton
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
Chandler Simpson 47.2%
Nasim Nuñez 45%
Bobby Witt Jr. 4.4%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1.4%
$683,100 Vol.
$683,100 Vol.
Chandler Simpson
45%
Nasim Nuñez
60%
Bobby Witt Jr.
10%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
1%
Randy Arozarena
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
José Caballero
<1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
David Hamilton
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nasim Nuñez and Chandler Simpson lead MLB stolen bases leader markets at 59.5% and 49.5% implied probability because they hold the top totals with roughly 46-47 steals apiece entering the final week of the 2026 regular season. Nuñez has maintained a high attempt rate for the Nationals despite a low batting average, while Simpson has posted strong efficiency and recent volume for the Rays after earlier inconsistency. Bobby Witt Jr. sits close at 43 steals but trails with limited games left to close the gap. Other contenders like Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Pete Crow-Armstrong remain well back, reflecting the established pace and slim remaining schedule that favors the current frontrunners in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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