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icon for MLB: Stolen Bases Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

icon for MLB: Stolen Bases Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

Nasim Nuñez 86%

Chandler Simpson 7.4%

CJ Abrams 1.8%

Randy Arozarena 1.7%

Polymarket

$683,760 Vol.

Nasim Nuñez 86%

Chandler Simpson 7.4%

CJ Abrams 1.8%

Randy Arozarena 1.7%

Polymarket

$683,760 Vol.

Nasim Nuñez

$14,881 Vol.

86%

Chandler Simpson

$3,221 Vol.

7%

CJ Abrams

$1,239 Vol.

2%

Randy Arozarena

$837 Vol.

2%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$1,196 Vol.

1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$983 Vol.

1%

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

$2,049 Vol.

<1%

Jake McCarthy

$777 Vol.

<1%

José Ramírez

$1,858 Vol.

<1%

José Caballero

$1,260 Vol.

<1%

Oneil Cruz

$1,763 Vol.

<1%

Jakob Marsee

$1,355 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hoerner

$640,912 Vol.

<1%

Luisangel Acuña

$368 Vol.

<1%

Geraldo Perdomo

$786 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$415 Vol.

<1%

Brice Turang

$1,497 Vol.

<1%

Carson Benge

$692 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$812 Vol.

<1%

Brenton Doyle

$510 Vol.

<1%

David Hamilton

$566 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$1,941 Vol.

<1%

Trea Turner

$559 Vol.

<1%

Victor Scott II

$728 Vol.

<1%

Luis Robert Jr.

$412 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$640 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$367 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Story

$396 Vol.

<1%

Gunnar Henderson

$416 Vol.

<1%

Josh Naylor

$326 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB stolen bases race with 49 thefts as of late September, well ahead of Chandler Simpson’s 46 and Bobby Witt Jr.’s 43. The Nationals speedster extended his advantage by setting the franchise single-season record during a recent series, leveraging elite sprint speed and an aggressive baserunning approach on a team that prioritizes his athleticism. With the regular season nearly complete, remaining games offer limited opportunities for catch-up. Simpson or Witt Jr. would need an unlikely surge in the final days, while factors such as late injuries, rest, or reduced playing time for Nuñez represent the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome. Trader consensus reflects this substantial cushion in implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$683,760
End Date
Oct 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB stolen bases race with 49 thefts as of late September, well ahead of Chandler Simpson’s 46 and Bobby Witt Jr.’s 43. The Nationals speedster extended his advantage by setting the franchise single-season record during a recent series, leveraging elite sprint speed and an aggressive baserunning approach on a team that prioritizes his athleticism. With the regular season nearly complete, remaining games offer limited opportunities for catch-up. Simpson or Witt Jr. would need an unlikely surge in the final days, while factors such as late injuries, rest, or reduced playing time for Nuñez represent the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome. Trader consensus reflects this substantial cushion in implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$683,760
End Date
Oct 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nasim Nuñez" at 87%, followed by "Chandler Simpson" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" has generated $683.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" is "Nasim Nuñez" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chandler Simpson" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.