Nasim Nuñez holds an overwhelming implied probability in the stolen bases leader market due to his 49 steals through late September, a three-steal edge over Chandler Simpson and double-digit margins over the rest of the field. The Washington Nationals infielder’s 97th-percentile sprint speed and aggressive base-running approach have produced consistent volume with a manageable caught-stealing rate, recently highlighted by his two-steal performance that broke the franchise single-season record. With the regular season winding down, the remaining schedule offers limited opportunity for challengers to close the gap unless Nuñez sustains an injury or is rested. Trader consensus reflects this established lead and the difficulty of overcoming it in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNasim Nuñez 88%
Chandler Simpson 3.6%
Pete Crow-Armstrong <1%
Bobby Witt Jr. <1%
$684,861 Vol.
$684,861 Vol.
Nasim Nuñez
88%
Chandler Simpson
4%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%
Randy Arozarena
<1%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
José Caballero
<1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
David Hamilton
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
Nasim Nuñez 88%
Chandler Simpson 3.6%
Pete Crow-Armstrong <1%
Bobby Witt Jr. <1%
$684,861 Vol.
$684,861 Vol.
Nasim Nuñez
88%
Chandler Simpson
4%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%
Randy Arozarena
<1%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Jake McCarthy
<1%
José Ramírez
<1%
José Caballero
<1%
Oneil Cruz
<1%
Jakob Marsee
<1%
Nico Hoerner
<1%
Luisangel Acuña
<1%
Geraldo Perdomo
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Brice Turang
<1%
Carson Benge
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Brenton Doyle
<1%
David Hamilton
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Trea Turner
<1%
Victor Scott II
<1%
Luis Robert Jr.
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Trevor Story
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Josh Naylor
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Nasim Nuñez holds an overwhelming implied probability in the stolen bases leader market due to his 49 steals through late September, a three-steal edge over Chandler Simpson and double-digit margins over the rest of the field. The Washington Nationals infielder’s 97th-percentile sprint speed and aggressive base-running approach have produced consistent volume with a manageable caught-stealing rate, recently highlighted by his two-steal performance that broke the franchise single-season record. With the regular season winding down, the remaining schedule offers limited opportunity for challengers to close the gap unless Nuñez sustains an injury or is rested. Trader consensus reflects this established lead and the difficulty of overcoming it in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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