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March 3 Primaries predictions & odds

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Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

60%

Talarico & Paxton

$667K Vol.

$118K Liq.

3

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

89%

Tom Sell

$66.8K Vol.

$65.7K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

72%

Colin Allred

$56.3K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

84%

Everett Jackson

$22.6K Vol.

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Ken Paxton

$15M Vol.

$313K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

30%

>15

$41.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

1

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

70%

0

$3.8K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

45%

7-9

$1.3K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

39%

2

$3.7K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

87%

Christian Menefee

$21.7K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

91%

Jon Bonck

$36.0K Vol.

$72.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

98%

Stratton 6–9%

$23.6K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

95%

Jeff Hurd

$8.1K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

93%

John Braun

$31.7K Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

39%

$413 Vol.

$48 Liq.

5

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

97%

André Carson

$12.9K Vol.

$51.8K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

87%

Brian Poindexter

$2.8K Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

61%

Rafael López Aliaga

$563K Vol.

$158K today

$309K Liq.

10

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

84%

Jim Baird

$1.4K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

47%

Lindsay James

$5.9K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like March 3 Primaries.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for March 3 Primaries that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Texas Senate Election Matchup”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $17.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 60% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on March 3 Primaries predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.