Tom Sell commands 90% trader consensus as the Republican primary winner for Texas' 19th Congressional District, reflecting his dominant 40% share in the March 3 first-round primary—doubling Abraham Enriquez's 19%—in this open-seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's edge stems from leading fundraising, endorsements from former opponents, State Rep. Carl Tepper, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and recent local backing, consolidating establishment and business support in the solidly Republican district spanning West Texas. Recent media exposés questioning Enriquez's background have eroded challenger momentum despite his Trump-aligned endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott and Turning Point USA. Low-probability shifts could emerge from a high-profile conservative endorsement for Enriquez, voter turnout surges among his base, or unexpected scandals, with early voting May 18–22 ahead of the May 26 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTom Sell 91.1%
Abraham Enriquez 7.8%
Ryan Zink <1%
Donald May <1%
$66,638 Vol.
$66,638 Vol.
Tom Sell
91%
Abraham Enriquez
8%
Ryan Zink
<1%
Donald May
<1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Tom Sell 91.1%
Abraham Enriquez 7.8%
Ryan Zink <1%
Donald May <1%
$66,638 Vol.
$66,638 Vol.
Tom Sell
91%
Abraham Enriquez
8%
Ryan Zink
<1%
Donald May
<1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell commands 90% trader consensus as the Republican primary winner for Texas' 19th Congressional District, reflecting his dominant 40% share in the March 3 first-round primary—doubling Abraham Enriquez's 19%—in this open-seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's edge stems from leading fundraising, endorsements from former opponents, State Rep. Carl Tepper, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and recent local backing, consolidating establishment and business support in the solidly Republican district spanning West Texas. Recent media exposés questioning Enriquez's background have eroded challenger momentum despite his Trump-aligned endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott and Turning Point USA. Low-probability shifts could emerge from a high-profile conservative endorsement for Enriquez, voter turnout surges among his base, or unexpected scandals, with early voting May 18–22 ahead of the May 26 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions