Skip to main content

Humanitarian Pause predictions & odds

·
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$72.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$49.0K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$75.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$92.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$4.2K Vol.

$176K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$333K today

$241K Liq.

474

Ends in about 1 month

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

32%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$511 Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

13%

May 31

$13.4K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

74%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$77 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

49%

December 31

$575K Vol.

$72.9K today

$429K Liq.

43

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

38%

May 31

$288K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 14 days

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

9%

$30.2K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

980

Ends in about 1 month

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

7%

$305K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs G2 Ares (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs G2 Ares (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

G2 Ares

$30.2K Vol.

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

24%

June 30

$132K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

28%

$14.6K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

11

Ends in 14 days

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

100%

The Last Resort

$495 Vol.

Ebola emergency by June 30?

Ebola emergency by June 30?

100%

$17.5K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Humanitarian Pause.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Humanitarian Pause that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs G2 Ares (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Humanitarian Pause predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.