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Christmas predictions & odds

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What will Trump say in May?

What will Trump say in May?

59%

Epstein

$38.4K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 14 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

2%

$63M Vol.

$59.7K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

15

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

69%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$582K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets

-

$167K Vol.

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

-

$222K Vol.

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

57%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$125K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise - More Markets

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise - More Markets

-

$952K Vol.

Who will win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

Who will win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

100%

None

$370K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets

-

$197K Vol.

Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC - More Markets

Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC - More Markets

-

$348K Vol.

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

41%

Baby

$10.8K Vol.

$446 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Christmas.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Christmas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Trump say in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $72.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of December 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Christmas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.