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Approve predictions & odds

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FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

75%

$56 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

16%

$564K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

75%

Civilian Service Act

$104K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

66%

Up

$250 Vol.

$33 Liq.

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

41%

Baby

$10.8K Vol.

$368 Liq.

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

54%

Up

$268 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

1%

$117K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

13%

$38.2K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

92%

Elon Musk

$11.2K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

22%

$1.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

99%

38.5%

$1.8K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Aurora Young Blood

$1.4K Vol.

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

<1%

$1M Vol.

$519K today

$111K Liq.

16

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

14%

↑ 46%

$4.8K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

48%

June 30

$18.0K Vol.

$10 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump approval rating on May 22?

Trump approval rating on May 22?

43%

38.5–38.9

$947 Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

100%

Team Stels

$35.9K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Approve that lets you track or trade on predictions like “FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “FDA approves Retatrutide this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Approve predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.