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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 8.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$981,446,471 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 8.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$981,446,471 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$19,003,336 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,428,992 Vol.

9%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,413,715 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,144,182 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,771,552 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,225,768 Vol.

4%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,491,818 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,703,675 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,891,897 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,952,980 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$7,855,121 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,965,817 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,588,448 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,453,840 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,131,595 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,765,538 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,862,675 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,624,932 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,109,754 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,314,383 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$44,006,014 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,225,932 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,764,185 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,341,068 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,901,482 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,578,609 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,858,374 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,412,526 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,507,312 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,651,501 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,322,850 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,378,171 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,022,484 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,062,239 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,758,118 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,275,720 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,184,423 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,753,109 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$20,392,103 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,495,316 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$24,153,834 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,300,623 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,879,893 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,542,062 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24% implied probability, bolstered by recent polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in a March California primary matchup and tying for second in New Hampshire among likely primary voters. Jon Ossoff at 8.8% gains from his viral February anti-Trump speech elevating his profile as a young swing-state senator, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.1% draws progressive support amid her recent pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel. With Harris fading post-2024 at 4.2%, the wide-open field differentiates on executive experience (Newsom), battleground appeal (Ossoff), and grassroots energy (AOC); consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, early fundraising, and Iowa-New Hampshire organizing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$981,446,471
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24% implied probability, bolstered by recent polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in a March California primary matchup and tying for second in New Hampshire among likely primary voters. Jon Ossoff at 8.8% gains from his viral February anti-Trump speech elevating his profile as a young swing-state senator, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.1% draws progressive support amid her recent pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel. With Harris fading post-2024 at 4.2%, the wide-open field differentiates on executive experience (Newsom), battleground appeal (Ossoff), and grassroots energy (AOC); consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, early fundraising, and Iowa-New Hampshire organizing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$981,446,471
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $981.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.